DDM Analysis: KABE-B.ST

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$214.86 - $493.85	$313.67
Multi-Stage	$163.93 - $178.47	$171.07
Blended Fair Value	$242.37
Current Price	$227.50
Upside	6.54%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	8.00%	8.62%	8.00	8.00	7.00	7.56	0.00	5.45	5.56	5.00	4.00	3.56
YoY Growth	-	-	0.00%	14.29%	-7.35%	0.00%	-100.00%	-2.00%	11.11%	25.00%	12.50%	1.59%
Dividend Yield	-	-	3.04%	2.59%	3.33%	2.96%	0.00%	5.19%	3.67%	2.75%	1.97%	2.69%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	94.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	72.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	22.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	18.80	11.75	7.05
Cash Retained (M)	22.00	22.00	22.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-18.80	-11.75	-7.05
(=) Excess Retained (M)	3.20	10.25	14.95
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	9.00	9.00	9.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.36	1.14	1.66
LTM Dividend per Share	8.00	8.00	8.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.36	1.14	1.66
(=) Adjusted Dividend	8.36	9.14	9.66
WACC / Discount Rate	9.60%	9.60%	9.60%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$214.86	$313.67	$493.85
Upside / Downside	-5.56%	37.88%	117.08%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	94.00	100.11	106.62	113.55	120.93	128.79	132.65
Payout Ratio	76.60%	79.28%	81.96%	84.64%	87.32%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	72.00	79.36	87.38	96.10	105.59	115.91	122.70

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.60%	9.60%	9.60%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	71.73	72.41	73.09
Year 2 PV (M)	71.38	72.74	74.11
Year 3 PV (M)	70.95	72.99	75.07
Year 4 PV (M)	70.46	73.17	75.96
Year 5 PV (M)	69.91	73.28	76.79
PV of Terminal Value (M)	1,120.70	1,174.83	1,231.04
Equity Value (M)	1,475.14	1,539.43	1,606.05
Shares Outstanding (M)	9.00	9.00	9.00
Fair Value	$163.93	$171.07	$178.47
Upside / Downside	-27.94%	-24.80%	-21.55%

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Financial Statements

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KABE Group AB (publ.) (KABE-B.ST)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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