DDM Analysis: JWN

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$8.16 - $11.00	$9.62
Multi-Stage	$14.75 - $16.22	$15.47
Blended Fair Value	$12.54
Current Price	$24.20
Upside	-48.16%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	-11.55%	-6.81%	0.74	0.73	0.71	0.00	0.35	1.36	1.49	1.47	1.53	7.06
YoY Growth	-	-	0.81%	3.36%	0.00%	-100.00%	-74.67%	-8.40%	1.21%	-3.52%	-78.40%	372.11%
Dividend Yield	-	-	3.05%	3.65%	4.59%	0.00%	0.94%	7.73%	3.70%	2.97%	3.16%	13.81%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	295.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	124.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	171.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	59.00	36.88	22.13
Cash Retained (M)	171.00	171.00	171.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-59.00	-36.88	-22.13
(=) Excess Retained (M)	112.00	134.13	148.88
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	167.78	167.78	167.78
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.67	0.80	0.89
LTM Dividend per Share	0.74	0.74	0.74
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.67	0.80	0.89
(=) Adjusted Dividend	1.41	1.54	1.63
WACC / Discount Rate	9.90%	9.90%	9.90%
Growth Rate	-6.25%	-5.25%	-4.25%
Fair Value	$8.16	$9.62	$11.00
Upside / Downside	-66.27%	-60.26%	-54.54%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	295.00	279.50	264.82	250.90	237.72	225.23	231.99
Payout Ratio	42.03%	51.63%	61.22%	70.81%	80.41%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	124.00	144.30	162.12	177.67	191.14	202.71	214.59

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.90%	9.90%	9.90%
Growth Rate	-6.25%	-5.25%	-4.25%
Year 1 PV (M)	129.91	131.30	132.68
Year 2 PV (M)	131.40	134.22	137.07
Year 3 PV (M)	129.65	133.84	138.13
Year 4 PV (M)	125.57	131.02	136.64
Year 5 PV (M)	119.89	126.42	133.24
PV of Terminal Value (M)	1,838.73	1,938.91	2,043.42
Equity Value (M)	2,475.16	2,595.71	2,721.17
Shares Outstanding (M)	167.78	167.78	167.78
Fair Value	$14.75	$15.47	$16.22
Upside / Downside	-39.04%	-36.07%	-32.98%

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Nordstrom, Inc. (JWN)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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