DDM Analysis: JLG.AX

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$27.89 - $60.45	$56.65
Multi-Stage	$9.22 - $10.09	$9.65
Blended Fair Value	$33.15
Current Price	$3.17
Upside	945.75%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	13.58%	0.00%	0.07	0.09	0.07	0.05	0.04	0.04	0.02	0.00	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	-20.90%	30.22%	47.11%	35.43%	-7.87%	152.95%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	2.27%	1.59%	1.31%	0.83%	0.69%	1.62%	1.03%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	85.11
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	45.66
(=) Cash Retained (M)	39.45

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	17.02	10.64	6.38
Cash Retained (M)	39.45	39.45	39.45
(-) Cash Required (M)	-17.02	-10.64	-6.38
(=) Excess Retained (M)	22.42	28.81	33.06
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	279.99	279.99	279.99
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.08	0.10	0.12
LTM Dividend per Share	0.16	0.16	0.16
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.08	0.10	0.12
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.24	0.27	0.28
WACC / Discount Rate	6.42%	6.42%	6.42%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$27.89	$56.65	$60.45
Upside / Downside	779.71%	1,687.10%	1,806.96%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	85.11	90.64	96.53	102.81	109.49	116.61	120.10
Payout Ratio	53.65%	60.92%	68.19%	75.46%	82.73%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	45.66	55.22	65.83	77.58	90.58	104.94	111.10

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.42%	6.42%	6.42%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	51.40	51.89	52.38
Year 2 PV (M)	57.04	58.12	59.22
Year 3 PV (M)	62.57	64.37	66.20
Year 4 PV (M)	68.01	70.62	73.31
Year 5 PV (M)	73.34	76.89	80.56
PV of Terminal Value (M)	2,270.26	2,379.92	2,493.77
Equity Value (M)	2,582.62	2,701.80	2,825.44
Shares Outstanding (M)	279.99	279.99	279.99
Fair Value	$9.22	$9.65	$10.09
Upside / Downside	190.97%	204.40%	218.33%

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Johns Lyng Group Limited (JLG.AX)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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