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Definitive Analysis

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Abrdn Japan Equity Fund Inc (JEQ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$12.74 - $18.80$15.64
Multi-Stage$23.40 - $25.71$24.53
Blended Fair Value$20.09
Current Price$6.72
Upside198.95%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.330.401.310.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---17.01%-69.49%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--5.71%7.88%24.76%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)22.55
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)9.80
(=) Cash Retained (M)12.75
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)4.512.821.69
Cash Retained (M)12.7512.7512.75
(-) Cash Required (M)-4.51-2.82-1.69
(=) Excess Retained (M)8.249.9311.06
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)13.9313.9313.93
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.590.710.79
LTM Dividend per Share0.700.700.70
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.590.710.79
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.301.421.50
WACC / Discount Rate7.96%7.96%7.96%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$12.74$15.64$18.80
Upside / Downside89.56%132.81%179.82%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)22.5522.3222.1021.8821.6621.4422.09
Payout Ratio43.45%52.76%62.07%71.38%80.69%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)9.8011.7813.7215.6217.4819.3020.43

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.96%7.96%7.96%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)10.8010.9111.02
Year 2 PV (M)11.5311.7712.01
Year 3 PV (M)12.0412.4112.79
Year 4 PV (M)12.3512.8613.39
Year 5 PV (M)12.5113.1613.83
PV of Terminal Value (M)266.74280.63295.09
Equity Value (M)325.96341.74358.13
Shares Outstanding (M)13.9313.9313.93
Fair Value$23.40$24.53$25.71
Upside / Downside248.25%265.10%282.61%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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