DDM Analysis: JCT.BK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$55.25 - $79.84	$67.21
Multi-Stage	$99.01 - $108.38	$103.61
Blended Fair Value	$85.41
Current Price	$80.00
Upside	6.76%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	0.23%	0.07%	4.12	3.89	3.41	3.43	4.09	4.07	3.99	3.89	3.90	4.87
YoY Growth	-	-	5.74%	14.24%	-0.51%	-16.19%	0.43%	1.99%	2.50%	-0.04%	-19.99%	19.03%
Dividend Yield	-	-	5.26%	4.94%	4.29%	4.28%	4.90%	5.61%	4.79%	4.31%	4.71%	5.97%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	103.73
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	86.98
(=) Cash Retained (M)	16.75

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	20.75	12.97	7.78
Cash Retained (M)	16.75	16.75	16.75
(-) Cash Required (M)	-20.75	-12.97	-7.78
(=) Excess Retained (M)	-4.00	3.78	8.97
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	13.50	13.50	13.50
(=) Excess Retained per Share	-0.30	0.28	0.66
LTM Dividend per Share	6.44	6.44	6.44
(+) Excess Retained per Share	-0.30	0.28	0.66
(=) Adjusted Dividend	6.15	6.72	7.11
WACC / Discount Rate	8.81%	8.81%	8.81%
Growth Rate	-2.08%	-1.08%	-0.08%
Fair Value	$55.25	$67.21	$79.84
Upside / Downside	-30.94%	-15.99%	-0.20%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	103.73	102.61	101.50	100.40	99.32	98.24	101.19
Payout Ratio	83.85%	85.08%	86.31%	87.54%	88.77%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	86.98	87.30	87.61	87.89	88.16	88.42	93.60

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	8.81%	8.81%	8.81%
Growth Rate	-2.08%	-1.08%	-0.08%
Year 1 PV (M)	79.42	80.23	81.04
Year 2 PV (M)	72.50	73.99	75.49
Year 3 PV (M)	66.17	68.22	70.31
Year 4 PV (M)	60.38	62.89	65.47
Year 5 PV (M)	55.09	57.96	60.95
PV of Terminal Value (M)	1,003.13	1,055.41	1,109.85
Equity Value (M)	1,336.70	1,398.70	1,463.11
Shares Outstanding (M)	13.50	13.50	13.50
Fair Value	$99.01	$103.61	$108.38
Upside / Downside	23.77%	29.51%	35.47%

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Jack Chia Industries (Thailand) Public Company Limited (JCT.BK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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