Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

PT Indosat Ooredoo Hutchison Tbk (ISAT.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Telecommunications ServicesSector: Communication Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$9,068.65 - $28,489.68$26,699.00
Multi-Stage$3,876.75 - $4,238.50$4,054.32
Blended Fair Value$15,376.66
Current Price$1,750.00
Upside778.67%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%67.0963.9262.01294.530.000.0012.3011.990.000.00
YoY Growth--4.97%3.07%-78.94%0.00%0.00%-100.00%2.56%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.61%2.31%0.89%5.69%0.00%0.00%0.51%0.25%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)4,620,064.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,702,398.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,917,666.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)924,012.80577,508.00346,504.80
Cash Retained (M)1,917,666.001,917,666.001,917,666.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-924,012.80-577,508.00-346,504.80
(=) Excess Retained (M)993,653.201,340,158.001,571,161.20
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)32,250.8132,250.8132,250.81
(=) Excess Retained per Share30.8141.5548.72
LTM Dividend per Share83.7983.7983.79
(+) Excess Retained per Share30.8141.5548.72
(=) Adjusted Dividend114.60125.35132.51
WACC / Discount Rate6.83%6.83%6.83%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$9,068.65$26,699.00$28,489.68
Upside / Downside418.21%1,425.66%1,527.98%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)4,620,064.004,920,368.165,240,192.095,580,804.585,943,556.876,329,888.076,519,784.71
Payout Ratio58.49%64.79%71.10%77.40%83.70%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,702,398.003,188,109.363,725,545.584,319,378.734,974,669.775,696,899.266,030,800.86

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.83%6.83%6.83%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)2,956,171.832,984,192.423,012,213.01
Year 2 PV (M)3,203,190.803,264,202.593,325,789.96
Year 3 PV (M)3,443,583.973,542,436.893,643,163.74
Year 4 PV (M)3,677,478.243,818,903.683,964,369.54
Year 5 PV (M)3,904,998.394,093,611.284,289,442.82
PV of Terminal Value (M)107,842,916.48113,051,769.67118,459,977.93
Equity Value (M)125,028,339.72130,755,116.52136,694,957.00
Shares Outstanding (M)32,250.8132,250.8132,250.81
Fair Value$3,876.75$4,054.32$4,238.50
Upside / Downside121.53%131.68%142.20%

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