DDM Analysis: IHG.L

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$1,352.59 - $1,595.44	$1,494.30
Multi-Stage	$1,051.97 - $1,161.15	$1,105.48
Blended Fair Value	$1,299.89
Current Price	$114.02
Upside	1,040.05%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-18.52%	-12.11%	1.59	1.50	1.43	0.00	0.00	4.42	1.22	3.64	10.39	1.15
YoY Growth	-	-	5.71%	5.15%	0.00%	0.00%	-100.00%	262.31%	-66.44%	-64.97%	800.53%	-80.04%
Dividend Yield	-	-	1.28%	1.67%	2.49%	0.00%	0.00%	6.41%	2.26%	5.72%	23.16%	2.95%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	1,388.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	518.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	870.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	277.60	173.50	104.10
Cash Retained (M)	870.00	870.00	870.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-277.60	-173.50	-104.10
(=) Excess Retained (M)	592.40	696.50	765.90
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	162.95	162.95	162.95
(=) Excess Retained per Share	3.64	4.27	4.70
LTM Dividend per Share	3.18	3.18	3.18
(+) Excess Retained per Share	3.64	4.27	4.70
(=) Adjusted Dividend	6.81	7.45	7.88
WACC / Discount Rate	-5.15%	-5.15%	-5.15%
Growth Rate	-0.75%	0.25%	1.25%
Fair Value	$1,352.59	$1,494.30	$1,595.44
Upside / Downside	1,086.27%	1,210.56%	1,299.27%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	1,388.00	1,391.44	1,394.89	1,398.35	1,401.82	1,405.29	1,447.45
Payout Ratio	37.32%	47.86%	58.39%	68.93%	79.46%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	518.00	665.89	814.50	963.85	1,113.94	1,264.76	1,338.89

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	-5.15%	-5.15%	-5.15%
Growth Rate	-0.75%	0.25%	1.25%
Year 1 PV (M)	695.02	702.02	709.03
Year 2 PV (M)	887.34	905.31	923.46
Year 3 PV (M)	1,095.98	1,129.44	1,163.58
Year 4 PV (M)	1,322.06	1,376.15	1,431.89
Year 5 PV (M)	1,566.74	1,647.27	1,731.09
PV of Terminal Value (M)	165,856.32	174,382.06	183,254.87
Equity Value (M)	171,423.45	180,142.26	189,213.91
Shares Outstanding (M)	162.95	162.95	162.95
Fair Value	$1,051.97	$1,105.48	$1,161.15
Upside / Downside	822.62%	869.55%	918.37%

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Financial Statements

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Sector

InterContinental Hotels Group PLC (IHG.L)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener