DDM Analysis: HPOL-B.ST

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$486.41 - $1,129.96	$1,058.93
Multi-Stage	$171.32 - $187.29	$179.16
Blended Fair Value	$619.05
Current Price	$84.40
Upside	633.47%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	21.74%	20.91%	6.01	3.61	6.00	2.30	2.30	2.25	1.95	4.75	1.70	1.20
YoY Growth	-	-	66.40%	-39.82%	160.98%	0.00%	2.33%	15.35%	-58.96%	179.49%	41.65%	33.23%
Dividend Yield	-	-	6.87%	2.73%	4.67%	2.49%	2.33%	3.77%	2.39%	6.14%	1.85%	1.33%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	1,957.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	1,449.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	508.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	391.40	244.63	146.78
Cash Retained (M)	508.00	508.00	508.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-391.40	-244.63	-146.78
(=) Excess Retained (M)	116.60	263.38	361.23
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	344.44	344.44	344.44
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.34	0.76	1.05
LTM Dividend per Share	4.21	4.21	4.21
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.34	0.76	1.05
(=) Adjusted Dividend	4.55	4.97	5.26
WACC / Discount Rate	6.49%	6.49%	6.49%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$486.41	$1,058.93	$1,129.96
Upside / Downside	476.32%	1,154.66%	1,238.81%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	1,957.00	2,084.21	2,219.68	2,363.96	2,517.61	2,681.26	2,761.70
Payout Ratio	74.04%	77.23%	80.43%	83.62%	86.81%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	1,449.00	1,609.70	1,785.18	1,976.66	2,185.50	2,413.13	2,554.57

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.49%	6.49%	6.49%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	1,497.47	1,511.66	1,525.85
Year 2 PV (M)	1,544.91	1,574.34	1,604.04
Year 3 PV (M)	1,591.35	1,637.03	1,683.58
Year 4 PV (M)	1,636.80	1,699.74	1,764.49
Year 5 PV (M)	1,681.26	1,762.47	1,846.78
PV of Terminal Value (M)	51,057.77	53,523.88	56,084.37
Equity Value (M)	59,009.56	61,709.12	64,509.12
Shares Outstanding (M)	344.44	344.44	344.44
Fair Value	$171.32	$179.16	$187.29
Upside / Downside	102.99%	112.27%	121.91%

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Financial Statements

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HEXPOL AB (publ) (HPOL-B.ST)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener