DDM Analysis: HOMB

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$57.78 - $167.17	$90.66
Multi-Stage	$39.05 - $42.65	$40.82
Blended Fair Value	$65.74
Current Price	$28.30
Upside	132.30%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	11.87%	20.54%	0.76	0.74	0.65	0.46	0.44	0.43	0.40	0.30	0.24	0.19
YoY Growth	-	-	2.81%	13.61%	39.38%	5.09%	2.39%	7.21%	32.29%	25.53%	27.98%	62.19%
Dividend Yield	-	-	2.68%	3.05%	2.98%	2.06%	1.64%	3.60%	2.24%	1.34%	0.90%	0.93%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	457.78
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	156.43
(=) Cash Retained (M)	301.35

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	91.56	57.22	34.33
Cash Retained (M)	301.35	301.35	301.35
(-) Cash Required (M)	-91.56	-57.22	-34.33
(=) Excess Retained (M)	209.79	244.13	267.02
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	198.22	198.22	198.22
(=) Excess Retained per Share	1.06	1.23	1.35
LTM Dividend per Share	0.79	0.79	0.79
(+) Excess Retained per Share	1.06	1.23	1.35
(=) Adjusted Dividend	1.85	2.02	2.14
WACC / Discount Rate	8.87%	8.87%	8.87%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$57.78	$90.66	$167.17
Upside / Downside	104.15%	220.37%	490.71%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	457.78	487.54	519.23	552.98	588.92	627.20	646.01
Payout Ratio	34.17%	45.34%	56.50%	67.67%	78.83%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	156.43	221.04	293.38	374.19	464.27	564.48	597.56

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	8.87%	8.87%	8.87%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	201.11	203.02	204.93
Year 2 PV (M)	242.88	247.50	252.17
Year 3 PV (M)	281.86	289.95	298.20
Year 4 PV (M)	318.19	330.43	343.02
Year 5 PV (M)	352.00	369.00	386.66
PV of Terminal Value (M)	6,344.07	6,650.49	6,968.64
Equity Value (M)	7,740.12	8,090.40	8,453.61
Shares Outstanding (M)	198.22	198.22	198.22
Fair Value	$39.05	$40.82	$42.65
Upside / Downside	37.98%	44.22%	50.70%

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Home Bancshares, Inc. (HOMB)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener