DDM Analysis: HLIO

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$9.68 - $14.93	$12.12
Multi-Stage	$12.18 - $13.33	$12.74
Blended Fair Value	$12.43
Current Price	$52.73
Upside	-76.43%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	0.64%	-11.05%	0.36	0.35	0.35	0.35	0.35	0.35	0.33	0.31	0.32	0.36
YoY Growth	-	-	0.85%	0.85%	0.86%	0.00%	0.65%	4.74%	7.24%	-4.50%	-10.46%	-68.72%
Dividend Yield	-	-	1.11%	0.79%	0.54%	0.44%	0.48%	0.98%	0.71%	0.57%	0.89%	1.08%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	33.80
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	12.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	21.80

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	6.76	4.23	2.54
Cash Retained (M)	21.80	21.80	21.80
(-) Cash Required (M)	-6.76	-4.23	-2.54
(=) Excess Retained (M)	15.04	17.58	19.27
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	33.35	33.35	33.35
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.45	0.53	0.58
LTM Dividend per Share	0.36	0.36	0.36
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.45	0.53	0.58
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.81	0.89	0.94
WACC / Discount Rate	9.79%	9.79%	9.79%
Growth Rate	1.30%	2.30%	3.30%
Fair Value	$9.68	$12.12	$14.93
Upside / Downside	-81.65%	-77.02%	-71.69%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	33.80	34.58	35.37	36.19	37.02	37.87	39.01
Payout Ratio	35.50%	46.40%	57.30%	68.20%	79.10%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	12.00	16.04	20.27	24.68	29.28	34.08	36.08

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.79%	9.79%	9.79%
Growth Rate	1.30%	2.30%	3.30%
Year 1 PV (M)	14.47	14.61	14.76
Year 2 PV (M)	16.49	16.82	17.15
Year 3 PV (M)	18.11	18.65	19.20
Year 4 PV (M)	19.38	20.16	20.96
Year 5 PV (M)	20.35	21.37	22.43
PV of Terminal Value (M)	317.37	333.34	349.96
Equity Value (M)	406.16	424.95	444.45
Shares Outstanding (M)	33.35	33.35	33.35
Fair Value	$12.18	$12.74	$13.33
Upside / Downside	-76.90%	-75.84%	-74.73%

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Financial Statements

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Helios Technologies, Inc. (HLIO)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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