DDM Analysis: HIBB

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$50.86 - $71.66	$61.17
Multi-Stage	$72.92 - $80.13	$76.45
Blended Fair Value	$68.81
Current Price	$86.59
Upside	-20.53%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	0.00%	0.00%	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	99.78
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	8.98
(=) Cash Retained (M)	90.80

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	19.96	12.47	7.48
Cash Retained (M)	90.80	90.80	90.80
(-) Cash Required (M)	-19.96	-12.47	-7.48
(=) Excess Retained (M)	70.85	78.33	83.32
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	12.50	12.50	12.50
(=) Excess Retained per Share	5.67	6.26	6.66
LTM Dividend per Share	0.72	0.72	0.72
(+) Excess Retained per Share	5.67	6.26	6.66
(=) Adjusted Dividend	6.38	6.98	7.38
WACC / Discount Rate	10.30%	10.30%	10.30%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Fair Value	$50.86	$61.17	$71.66
Upside / Downside	-41.26%	-29.36%	-17.24%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	99.78	98.79	97.80	96.82	95.85	94.89	97.74
Payout Ratio	9.00%	25.20%	41.40%	57.60%	73.80%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	8.98	24.89	40.49	55.77	70.74	85.40	90.41

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	10.30%	10.30%	10.30%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)	22.34	22.57	22.80
Year 2 PV (M)	32.61	33.28	33.95
Year 3 PV (M)	40.31	41.56	42.83
Year 4 PV (M)	45.89	47.79	49.75
Year 5 PV (M)	49.72	52.31	55.00
PV of Terminal Value (M)	720.92	758.46	797.55
Equity Value (M)	911.79	955.96	1,001.88
Shares Outstanding (M)	12.50	12.50	12.50
Fair Value	$72.92	$76.45	$80.13
Upside / Downside	-15.79%	-11.71%	-7.46%

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Hibbett, Inc. (HIBB)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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