DDM Analysis: HCO.PA

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$8.43 - $13.30	$10.66
Multi-Stage	$17.31 - $19.02	$18.15
Blended Fair Value	$14.41
Current Price	$3.83
Upside	276.16%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	0.80%	13.46%	0.28	0.41	0.43	0.43	0.00	0.27	0.22	0.20	0.10	0.08
YoY Growth	-	-	-30.60%	-5.93%	-0.50%	170,700.00%	-99.91%	21.85%	13.40%	96.54%	25.83%	-0.57%
Dividend Yield	-	-	11.21%	10.82%	9.08%	8.67%	0.01%	4.45%	5.02%	3.93%	1.55%	1.64%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	16.70
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	10.41
(=) Cash Retained (M)	6.29

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	3.34	2.09	1.25
Cash Retained (M)	6.29	6.29	6.29
(-) Cash Required (M)	-3.34	-2.09	-1.25
(=) Excess Retained (M)	2.95	4.20	5.04
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	19.71	19.71	19.71
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.15	0.21	0.26
LTM Dividend per Share	0.53	0.53	0.53
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.15	0.21	0.26
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.68	0.74	0.78
WACC / Discount Rate	6.74%	6.74%	6.74%
Growth Rate	-1.20%	-0.20%	0.80%
Fair Value	$8.43	$10.66	$13.30
Upside / Downside	120.23%	178.37%	247.26%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	16.70	16.66	16.63	16.60	16.56	16.53	17.03
Payout Ratio	62.33%	67.86%	73.40%	78.93%	84.47%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	10.41	11.31	12.21	13.10	13.99	14.88	15.75

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.74%	6.74%	6.74%
Growth Rate	-1.20%	-0.20%	0.80%
Year 1 PV (M)	10.49	10.60	10.70
Year 2 PV (M)	10.50	10.71	10.93
Year 3 PV (M)	10.45	10.77	11.10
Year 4 PV (M)	10.35	10.78	11.22
Year 5 PV (M)	10.21	10.74	11.29
PV of Terminal Value (M)	289.17	304.10	319.65
Equity Value (M)	341.18	357.70	374.88
Shares Outstanding (M)	19.71	19.71	19.71
Fair Value	$17.31	$18.15	$19.02
Upside / Downside	352.05%	373.95%	396.71%

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High Co. S.A. (HCO.PA)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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