DDM Analysis: HCKT

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$4.27 - $6.94	$5.47
Multi-Stage	$6.42 - $7.02	$6.72
Blended Fair Value	$6.09
Current Price	$19.29
Upside	-68.42%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	1.59%	13.19%	0.43	0.42	0.37	0.46	0.53	0.40	0.36	0.31	0.25	0.11
YoY Growth	-	-	1.17%	14.71%	-19.00%	-13.74%	33.41%	11.43%	15.89%	21.04%	133.55%	-12.57%
Dividend Yield	-	-	1.47%	1.74%	2.00%	1.93%	3.14%	3.24%	2.25%	1.91%	1.30%	0.72%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	10.92
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	9.38
(=) Cash Retained (M)	1.53

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	2.18	1.36	0.82
Cash Retained (M)	1.53	1.53	1.53
(-) Cash Required (M)	-2.18	-1.36	-0.82
(=) Excess Retained (M)	-0.65	0.17	0.71
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	28.27	28.27	28.27
(=) Excess Retained per Share	-0.02	0.01	0.03
LTM Dividend per Share	0.33	0.33	0.33
(+) Excess Retained per Share	-0.02	0.01	0.03
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.31	0.34	0.36
WACC / Discount Rate	8.15%	8.15%	8.15%
Growth Rate	0.86%	1.86%	2.86%
Fair Value	$4.27	$5.47	$6.94
Upside / Downside	-77.86%	-71.66%	-64.04%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	10.92	11.12	11.32	11.54	11.75	11.97	12.33
Payout Ratio	85.97%	86.78%	87.58%	88.39%	89.19%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	9.38	9.65	9.92	10.20	10.48	10.77	11.40

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	8.15%	8.15%	8.15%
Growth Rate	0.86%	1.86%	2.86%
Year 1 PV (M)	8.83	8.92	9.01
Year 2 PV (M)	8.31	8.48	8.65
Year 3 PV (M)	7.82	8.06	8.30
Year 4 PV (M)	7.36	7.66	7.96
Year 5 PV (M)	6.93	7.28	7.64
PV of Terminal Value (M)	142.28	149.48	156.96
Equity Value (M)	181.55	189.88	198.52
Shares Outstanding (M)	28.27	28.27	28.27
Fair Value	$6.42	$6.72	$7.02
Upside / Downside	-66.71%	-65.18%	-63.60%

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The Hackett Group, Inc. (HCKT)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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