DDM Analysis: HBTS5.SA

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$41.52 - $64.23	$52.05
Multi-Stage	$95.93 - $105.52	$100.63
Blended Fair Value	$76.34
Current Price	$30.30
Upside	151.95%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	143.14%	22.83%	4.95	2.20	2.77	0.11	0.03	0.06	0.04	0.33	0.48	0.94
YoY Growth	-	-	124.51%	-20.38%	2,459.62%	211.67%	-40.41%	53.76%	-88.51%	-31.17%	-49.29%	49.18%
Dividend Yield	-	-	16.50%	5.82%	9.89%	0.25%	0.18%	0.78%	0.41%	4.02%	6.61%	18.49%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	40.75
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	25.80
(=) Cash Retained (M)	14.94

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	8.15	5.09	3.06
Cash Retained (M)	14.94	14.94	14.94
(-) Cash Required (M)	-8.15	-5.09	-3.06
(=) Excess Retained (M)	6.79	9.85	11.89
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	9.13	9.13	9.13
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.74	1.08	1.30
LTM Dividend per Share	2.83	2.83	2.83
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.74	1.08	1.30
(=) Adjusted Dividend	3.57	3.90	4.13
WACC / Discount Rate	6.42%	6.42%	6.42%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Fair Value	$41.52	$52.05	$64.23
Upside / Downside	37.02%	71.78%	111.98%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	40.75	40.34	39.94	39.54	39.14	38.75	39.91
Payout Ratio	63.33%	68.66%	74.00%	79.33%	84.67%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	25.80	27.70	29.55	31.37	33.14	34.88	36.92

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.42%	6.42%	6.42%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)	25.76	26.03	26.29
Year 2 PV (M)	25.57	26.09	26.62
Year 3 PV (M)	25.24	26.02	26.82
Year 4 PV (M)	24.81	25.83	26.89
Year 5 PV (M)	24.28	25.55	26.86
PV of Terminal Value (M)	750.53	789.61	830.30
Equity Value (M)	876.18	919.12	963.78
Shares Outstanding (M)	9.13	9.13	9.13
Fair Value	$95.93	$100.63	$105.52
Upside / Downside	216.60%	232.11%	248.25%

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Companhia Habitasul de Participações (HBTS5.SA)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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