DDM Analysis: GPI

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$600.85 - $1,396.47	$880.49
Multi-Stage	$436.27 - $477.20	$456.36
Blended Fair Value	$668.43
Current Price	$437.51
Upside	52.78%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	4.42%	3.96%	1.94	1.94	1.82	1.84	0.85	1.56	1.61	1.57	1.54	1.53
YoY Growth	-	-	0.00%	6.33%	-0.84%	117.27%	-45.81%	-2.74%	1.98%	2.40%	0.23%	16.64%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.51%	0.67%	0.81%	1.10%	0.54%	3.53%	2.42%	2.41%	2.08%	2.61%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	376.30
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	25.70
(=) Cash Retained (M)	350.60

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	75.26	47.04	28.22
Cash Retained (M)	350.60	350.60	350.60
(-) Cash Required (M)	-75.26	-47.04	-28.22
(=) Excess Retained (M)	275.34	303.56	322.38
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	12.99	12.99	12.99
(=) Excess Retained per Share	21.19	23.36	24.81
LTM Dividend per Share	1.98	1.98	1.98
(+) Excess Retained per Share	21.19	23.36	24.81
(=) Adjusted Dividend	23.17	25.34	26.79
WACC / Discount Rate	9.27%	9.27%	9.27%
Growth Rate	5.21%	6.21%	7.21%
Fair Value	$600.85	$880.49	$1,396.47
Upside / Downside	37.33%	101.25%	219.19%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	376.30	399.66	424.48	450.83	478.83	508.56	523.81
Payout Ratio	6.83%	23.46%	40.10%	56.73%	73.37%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	25.70	93.78	170.21	255.77	351.30	457.70	484.53

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.27%	9.27%	9.27%
Growth Rate	5.21%	6.21%	7.21%
Year 1 PV (M)	85.02	85.82	86.63
Year 2 PV (M)	139.89	142.56	145.26
Year 3 PV (M)	190.58	196.06	201.65
Year 4 PV (M)	237.31	246.46	255.87
Year 5 PV (M)	280.30	293.88	307.98
PV of Terminal Value (M)	4,736.11	4,965.51	5,203.71
Equity Value (M)	5,669.20	5,930.30	6,201.11
Shares Outstanding (M)	12.99	12.99	12.99
Fair Value	$436.27	$456.36	$477.20
Upside / Downside	-0.28%	4.31%	9.07%

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Financial Statements

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Miscellaneous

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Ticker

Industry

Sector

Group 1 Automotive, Inc. (GPI)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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