DDM Analysis: GNW

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$3.21 - $4.51	$3.85
Multi-Stage	$5.39 - $5.94	$5.66
Blended Fair Value	$4.76
Current Price	$8.90
Upside	-46.56%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-24.74%	0.00%	0.05	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.21	0.23	0.00	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	-100.00%	-10.31%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.70%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	6.22%	5.79%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	220.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	5.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	215.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	44.00	27.50	16.50
Cash Retained (M)	215.00	215.00	215.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-44.00	-27.50	-16.50
(=) Excess Retained (M)	171.00	187.50	198.50
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	421.18	421.18	421.18
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.41	0.45	0.47
LTM Dividend per Share	0.01	0.01	0.01
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.41	0.45	0.47
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.42	0.46	0.48
WACC / Discount Rate	9.05%	9.05%	9.05%
Growth Rate	-3.51%	-2.51%	-1.51%
Fair Value	$3.21	$3.85	$4.51
Upside / Downside	-63.93%	-56.69%	-49.37%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	220.00	214.49	209.11	203.87	198.76	193.78	199.60
Payout Ratio	2.27%	19.82%	37.36%	54.91%	72.45%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	5.00	42.51	78.13	111.94	144.01	174.40	184.63

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.05%	9.05%	9.05%
Growth Rate	-3.51%	-2.51%	-1.51%
Year 1 PV (M)	38.58	38.98	39.38
Year 2 PV (M)	64.36	65.70	67.05
Year 3 PV (M)	83.68	86.31	88.99
Year 4 PV (M)	97.70	101.82	106.06
Year 5 PV (M)	107.39	113.07	118.99
PV of Terminal Value (M)	1,877.57	1,976.90	2,080.39
Equity Value (M)	2,269.28	2,382.77	2,500.86
Shares Outstanding (M)	421.18	421.18	421.18
Fair Value	$5.39	$5.66	$5.94
Upside / Downside	-39.46%	-36.43%	-33.28%

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Financial Statements

Fundamentals

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Miscellaneous

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Ticker

Industry

Sector

Genworth Financial, Inc. (GNW)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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