DDM Analysis: GLPI

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$87.53 - $403.24	$153.93
Multi-Stage	$60.20 - $65.69	$62.89
Blended Fair Value	$108.41
Current Price	$46.61
Upside	132.59%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	7.11%	5.33%	3.00	3.01	2.78	2.29	0.83	2.13	1.99	1.91	1.55	0.91
YoY Growth	-	-	-0.39%	8.19%	21.61%	174.99%	-60.87%	7.03%	3.98%	23.58%	70.16%	-49.05%
Dividend Yield	-	-	5.89%	6.61%	5.34%	4.88%	1.96%	7.67%	5.13%	5.71%	4.63%	2.94%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	775.03
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	638.77
(=) Cash Retained (M)	136.26

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	155.01	96.88	58.13
Cash Retained (M)	136.26	136.26	136.26
(-) Cash Required (M)	-155.01	-96.88	-58.13
(=) Excess Retained (M)	-18.75	39.38	78.13
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	277.06	277.06	277.06
(=) Excess Retained per Share	-0.07	0.14	0.28
LTM Dividend per Share	2.31	2.31	2.31
(+) Excess Retained per Share	-0.07	0.14	0.28
(=) Adjusted Dividend	2.24	2.45	2.59
WACC / Discount Rate	7.80%	7.80%	7.80%
Growth Rate	5.11%	6.11%	7.11%
Fair Value	$87.53	$153.93	$403.24
Upside / Downside	87.80%	230.26%	765.14%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	775.03	822.42	872.70	926.06	982.69	1,042.78	1,074.06
Payout Ratio	82.42%	83.94%	85.45%	86.97%	88.48%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	638.77	690.30	745.74	805.38	869.52	938.50	993.51

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.80%	7.80%	7.80%
Growth Rate	5.11%	6.11%	7.11%
Year 1 PV (M)	634.30	640.34	646.37
Year 2 PV (M)	629.66	641.70	653.85
Year 3 PV (M)	624.86	642.86	661.21
Year 4 PV (M)	619.91	643.83	668.45
Year 5 PV (M)	614.81	644.62	675.57
PV of Terminal Value (M)	13,553.83	14,210.93	14,893.27
Equity Value (M)	16,677.37	17,424.29	18,198.73
Shares Outstanding (M)	277.06	277.06	277.06
Fair Value	$60.20	$62.89	$65.69
Upside / Downside	29.15%	34.93%	40.93%

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Gaming and Leisure Properties, Inc. (GLPI)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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