DDM Analysis: GJTL.JK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$4,678.73 - $8,891.79	$6,378.47
Multi-Stage	$7,133.52 - $7,840.25	$7,480.12
Blended Fair Value	$6,929.29
Current Price	$1,115.00
Upside	521.46%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	0.00%	17.43%	49.81	0.00	0.00	9.96	0.00	0.00	0.00	4.98	0.00	9.96
YoY Growth	-	-	0.00%	0.00%	-100.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	-100.00%	0.00%	-100.00%	-0.22%
Dividend Yield	-	-	4.72%	0.00%	0.00%	1.59%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.61%	0.00%	1.36%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	1,060,274.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	173,577.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	886,697.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	212,054.80	132,534.25	79,520.55
Cash Retained (M)	886,697.00	886,697.00	886,697.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-212,054.80	-132,534.25	-79,520.55
(=) Excess Retained (M)	674,642.20	754,162.75	807,176.45
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	3,484.41	3,484.41	3,484.41
(=) Excess Retained per Share	193.62	216.44	231.65
LTM Dividend per Share	49.82	49.82	49.82
(+) Excess Retained per Share	193.62	216.44	231.65
(=) Adjusted Dividend	243.43	266.25	281.47
WACC / Discount Rate	6.54%	6.54%	6.54%
Growth Rate	1.27%	2.27%	3.27%
Fair Value	$4,678.73	$6,378.47	$8,891.79
Upside / Downside	319.62%	472.06%	697.47%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	1,060,274.00	1,084,325.46	1,108,922.50	1,134,077.51	1,159,803.13	1,186,112.33	1,221,695.70
Payout Ratio	16.37%	31.10%	45.82%	60.55%	75.27%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	173,577.00	337,190.14	508,136.83	686,665.59	873,032.43	1,067,501.09	1,130,068.52

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.54%	6.54%	6.54%
Growth Rate	1.27%	2.27%	3.27%
Year 1 PV (M)	313,404.60	316,499.39	319,594.18
Year 2 PV (M)	438,976.89	447,689.27	456,487.25
Year 3 PV (M)	551,361.90	567,857.40	584,678.67
Year 4 PV (M)	651,556.88	677,676.44	704,573.54
Year 5 PV (M)	740,492.69	777,782.81	816,560.32
PV of Terminal Value (M)	22,160,315.69	23,276,276.33	24,436,749.38
Equity Value (M)	24,856,108.66	26,063,781.63	27,318,643.34
Shares Outstanding (M)	3,484.41	3,484.41	3,484.41
Fair Value	$7,133.52	$7,480.12	$7,840.25
Upside / Downside	539.78%	570.86%	603.16%

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PT. Gajah Tunggal Tbk (GJTL.JK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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