DDM Analysis: GILD

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$66.72 - $106.34	$84.72
Multi-Stage	$120.90 - $132.78	$126.72
Blended Fair Value	$105.72
Current Price	$111.00
Upside	-4.75%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	3.99%	0.00%	3.12	3.03	2.95	2.87	2.74	2.56	2.36	2.17	1.95	1.49
YoY Growth	-	-	2.86%	2.70%	2.88%	4.52%	7.05%	8.45%	8.79%	11.24%	31.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	2.78%	4.16%	3.56%	4.83%	4.25%	3.43%	3.59%	2.88%	2.88%	1.62%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	8,110.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	3,982.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	4,128.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	1,622.00	1,013.75	608.25
Cash Retained (M)	4,128.00	4,128.00	4,128.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-1,622.00	-1,013.75	-608.25
(=) Excess Retained (M)	2,506.00	3,114.25	3,519.75
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	1,256.75	1,256.75	1,256.75
(=) Excess Retained per Share	1.99	2.48	2.80
LTM Dividend per Share	3.17	3.17	3.17
(+) Excess Retained per Share	1.99	2.48	2.80
(=) Adjusted Dividend	5.16	5.65	5.97
WACC / Discount Rate	7.15%	7.15%	7.15%
Growth Rate	-0.55%	0.45%	1.45%
Fair Value	$66.72	$84.72	$106.34
Upside / Downside	-39.89%	-23.67%	-4.20%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	8,110.00	8,146.78	8,183.74	8,220.86	8,258.14	8,295.60	8,544.47
Payout Ratio	49.10%	57.28%	65.46%	73.64%	81.82%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	3,982.00	4,666.47	5,357.07	6,053.83	6,756.81	7,466.04	7,903.63

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.15%	7.15%	7.15%
Growth Rate	-0.55%	0.45%	1.45%
Year 1 PV (M)	4,311.79	4,355.15	4,398.50
Year 2 PV (M)	4,573.68	4,666.12	4,759.48
Year 3 PV (M)	4,775.72	4,921.23	5,069.67
Year 4 PV (M)	4,925.15	5,126.24	5,333.44
Year 5 PV (M)	5,028.49	5,286.43	5,554.85
PV of Terminal Value (M)	128,320.38	134,902.69	141,752.40
Equity Value (M)	151,935.21	159,257.86	166,868.34
Shares Outstanding (M)	1,256.75	1,256.75	1,256.75
Fair Value	$120.90	$126.72	$132.78
Upside / Downside	8.91%	14.16%	19.62%

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605286.SS	Jiangsu Tongli Risheng Machinery Co., Ltd.	2.43%	$0.99	75.51%
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MSAB-B.ST	Micro Systemation AB (publ)	2.43%	$1.50	65.33%
NEOE3.SA	Neoenergia S.A.	2.43%	$0.77	21.26%
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006730.KQ	Seobu T&D Co., Ltd.	2.42%	$309.73	27.66%
071050.KS	Korea Investment Holdings Co., Ltd.	2.42%	$3,984.93	13.09%
0DQK.L	Beter Bed Holding N.V.	2.42%	$0.15	53.98%
2409.TW	AUO Corporation	2.42%	$0.31	41.22%
300453.SZ	Jiangxi Sanxin Medtec Co.,Ltd.	2.42%	$0.21	45.08%
600064.SS	Nanjing Gaoke Company Limited	2.42%	$0.21	15.60%
601236.SS	Hongta Securities Co., Ltd.	2.42%	$0.20	95.69%
9550.SR	Sure Global Tech Company	2.42%	$1.52	28.67%
9562.SR	Foods Gate Trading Co.	2.42%	$0.67	13.40%
AEONTS-R.BK	AEON Thana Sinsap (Thailand) Public Company Limited	2.42%	$2.60	21.04%
NMAN.ST	Nederman Holding AB (publ)	2.42%	$4.00	47.45%
SALIK.AE	Salik Company P.J.S.C.	2.42%	$0.16	83.74%
SKMO.ST	Skåne-möllan AB (publ)	2.42%	$1.40	96.86%
001130.KS	Daehan Flour Mills Co.,Ltd	2.41%	$3,470.92	10.83%
080160.KQ	Modetour Network Inc.	2.41%	$249.37	24.80%
0U96.L	Everest Re Group, Ltd.	2.41%	$8.07	61.23%
3591.T	Wacoal Holdings Corp.	2.41%	$106.27	49.77%
601966.SS	Shandong Linglong Tyre Co.,Ltd.	2.41%	$0.35	42.43%
7951.T	Yamaha Corporation	2.41%	$26.35	66.95%
BORG.ST	Björn Borg AB (publ)	2.41%	$1.50	43.49%
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ETTE.HE	Etteplan Oyj	2.41%	$0.23	71.21%
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Gilead Sciences, Inc. (GILD)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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