DDM Analysis: GBX

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$61.86 - $96.11	$77.69
Multi-Stage	$80.01 - $87.72	$83.79
Blended Fair Value	$80.74
Current Price	$46.63
Upside	73.16%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	2.40%	9.16%	1.23	1.20	1.12	1.11	1.11	1.09	1.03	0.93	0.77	0.73
YoY Growth	-	-	3.13%	6.37%	0.84%	0.38%	1.39%	5.97%	10.96%	20.18%	6.81%	41.31%
Dividend Yield	-	-	2.64%	1.76%	2.98%	2.90%	2.78%	3.28%	3.67%	1.90%	1.55%	1.87%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	204.10
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	39.60
(=) Cash Retained (M)	164.50

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	40.82	25.51	15.31
Cash Retained (M)	164.50	164.50	164.50
(-) Cash Required (M)	-40.82	-25.51	-15.31
(=) Excess Retained (M)	123.68	138.99	149.19
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	32.13	32.13	32.13
(=) Excess Retained per Share	3.85	4.33	4.64
LTM Dividend per Share	1.23	1.23	1.23
(+) Excess Retained per Share	3.85	4.33	4.64
(=) Adjusted Dividend	5.08	5.56	5.88
WACC / Discount Rate	9.27%	9.27%	9.27%
Growth Rate	0.98%	1.98%	2.98%
Fair Value	$61.86	$77.69	$96.11
Upside / Downside	32.66%	66.61%	106.10%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	204.10	208.14	212.25	216.45	220.74	225.10	231.86
Payout Ratio	19.40%	33.52%	47.64%	61.76%	75.88%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	39.60	69.77	101.12	133.68	167.50	202.59	214.47

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.27%	9.27%	9.27%
Growth Rate	0.98%	1.98%	2.98%
Year 1 PV (M)	63.22	63.85	64.48
Year 2 PV (M)	83.03	84.68	86.35
Year 3 PV (M)	99.47	102.45	105.50
Year 4 PV (M)	112.93	117.47	122.14
Year 5 PV (M)	123.77	130.02	136.52
PV of Terminal Value (M)	2,088.13	2,193.60	2,303.28
Equity Value (M)	2,570.56	2,692.08	2,818.27
Shares Outstanding (M)	32.13	32.13	32.13
Fair Value	$80.01	$83.79	$87.72
Upside / Downside	71.59%	79.70%	88.13%

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Ticker ⇵	Company ⇵	Dividend Yield % ▼	Dividend Per Share ⇵	Payout Ratio % ⇵
112610.KS	CS Wind Corporation	2.43%	$982.89	21.73%
300452.SZ	Anhui Sunhere Pharmaceutical Excipients Co.,Ltd.	2.43%	$0.33	58.46%
603599.SS	Anhui Guangxin Agrochemical Co., Ltd.	2.43%	$0.28	35.02%
605286.SS	Jiangsu Tongli Risheng Machinery Co., Ltd.	2.43%	$0.99	75.51%
9569.SR	Almuneef Company for Trade, Industry, Agriculture and Contracting	2.43%	$0.20	19.26%
ALV	Autoliv, Inc.	2.43%	$2.97	30.32%
KEPEN.AT	Flour Mills Kepenos S.A.	2.43%	$0.05	39.82%
MSAB-B.ST	Micro Systemation AB (publ)	2.43%	$1.50	65.33%
NEOE3.SA	Neoenergia S.A.	2.43%	$0.77	21.26%
OV8.SI	Sheng Siong Group Ltd	2.43%	$0.06	66.54%
VIL.PA	VIEL & Cie, S.A.	2.43%	$0.40	12.44%
002236.SZ	Zhejiang Dahua Technology Co., Ltd.	2.42%	$0.46	38.43%
006730.KQ	Seobu T&D Co., Ltd.	2.42%	$309.73	27.66%
071050.KS	Korea Investment Holdings Co., Ltd.	2.42%	$3,984.93	13.09%
0DQK.L	Beter Bed Holding N.V.	2.42%	$0.15	53.98%
2409.TW	AUO Corporation	2.42%	$0.31	41.22%
300453.SZ	Jiangxi Sanxin Medtec Co.,Ltd.	2.42%	$0.21	45.08%
600064.SS	Nanjing Gaoke Company Limited	2.42%	$0.21	15.60%
601236.SS	Hongta Securities Co., Ltd.	2.42%	$0.20	95.69%
9550.SR	Sure Global Tech Company	2.42%	$1.52	28.67%
9562.SR	Foods Gate Trading Co.	2.42%	$0.67	13.40%
AEONTS-R.BK	AEON Thana Sinsap (Thailand) Public Company Limited	2.42%	$2.60	21.04%
NMAN.ST	Nederman Holding AB (publ)	2.42%	$4.00	47.45%
SALIK.AE	Salik Company P.J.S.C.	2.42%	$0.16	83.74%
SKMO.ST	Skåne-möllan AB (publ)	2.42%	$1.40	96.86%
001130.KS	Daehan Flour Mills Co.,Ltd	2.41%	$3,470.92	10.83%
080160.KQ	Modetour Network Inc.	2.41%	$249.37	24.80%
0U96.L	Everest Re Group, Ltd.	2.41%	$8.07	61.23%
3591.T	Wacoal Holdings Corp.	2.41%	$106.27	49.77%
601966.SS	Shandong Linglong Tyre Co.,Ltd.	2.41%	$0.35	42.43%
7951.T	Yamaha Corporation	2.41%	$26.35	66.95%
BORG.ST	Björn Borg AB (publ)	2.41%	$1.50	43.49%
EIOF.OL	Eidesvik Offshore ASA	2.41%	$0.30	28.32%
ETTE.HE	Etteplan Oyj	2.41%	$0.23	71.21%
ZZ-B.ST	Zinzino AB (publ)	2.41%	$3.76	58.64%
002968.SZ	New Dazheng Property Group Co., Ltd.	2.40%	$0.29	59.28%
0NZN.L	Robertet S.A.	2.40%	$21.10	23.60%
4015.SR	Jamjoom Pharmaceuticals Factory Company	2.40%	$3.46	54.14%
7703.TWO	Rayzher	2.40%	$5.49	59.71%
BBL.AX	Brisbane Broncos Limited	2.40%	$0.04	25.15%
002158.SZ	Shanghai Hanbell Precise Machinery Co., Ltd.	2.39%	$0.60	60.14%
004690.KS	Samchully Co.,Ltd	2.39%	$3,000.02	10.30%
0GVS.L	Catena AB (publ)	2.39%	$8.76	32.84%
300577.SZ	Anhui Korrun Co., Ltd.	2.39%	$0.51	36.22%
3044.TW	Tripod Technology Corporation	2.39%	$7.48	42.14%
603080.SS	Xinjiang Torch Gas Co., Ltd	2.39%	$0.57	43.55%
6780.TWO	Study King Co., Ltd.	2.39%	$0.80	89.60%
6804.T	Hosiden Corporation	2.39%	$59.44	25.81%
KBLM.JK	PT Kabelindo Murni Tbk	2.39%	$8.08	12.05%
SCANFL.HE	Scanfil Oyj	2.39%	$0.24	42.33%

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The Greenbrier Companies, Inc. (GBX)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener