DDM Analysis: GBUS.MI

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$19.08 - $29.91	$24.06
Multi-Stage	$46.63 - $51.35	$48.94
Blended Fair Value	$36.50
Current Price	$8.96
Upside	307.37%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017
DPS	0.00%	0.00%	0.50	1.00	0.54	0.27	0.36	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	-50.13%	85.04%	100.13%	-24.93%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	3.74%	6.44%	3.33%	4.68%	5.92%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	9.80
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	4.98
(=) Cash Retained (M)	4.82

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	1.96	1.22	0.73
Cash Retained (M)	4.82	4.82	4.82
(-) Cash Required (M)	-1.96	-1.22	-0.73
(=) Excess Retained (M)	2.86	3.60	4.09
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	4.98	4.98	4.98
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.57	0.72	0.82
LTM Dividend per Share	1.00	1.00	1.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.57	0.72	0.82
(=) Adjusted Dividend	1.57	1.72	1.82
WACC / Discount Rate	6.08%	6.08%	6.08%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Fair Value	$19.08	$24.06	$29.91
Upside / Downside	112.93%	168.50%	233.87%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	9.80	9.70	9.60	9.51	9.41	9.32	9.60
Payout Ratio	50.80%	58.64%	66.48%	74.32%	82.16%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	4.98	5.69	6.38	7.07	7.73	8.39	8.88

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.08%	6.08%	6.08%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)	5.31	5.36	5.42
Year 2 PV (M)	5.56	5.67	5.79
Year 3 PV (M)	5.74	5.92	6.10
Year 4 PV (M)	5.86	6.11	6.36
Year 5 PV (M)	5.93	6.24	6.56
PV of Terminal Value (M)	203.96	214.58	225.64
Equity Value (M)	232.37	243.89	255.87
Shares Outstanding (M)	4.98	4.98	4.98
Fair Value	$46.63	$48.94	$51.35
Upside / Downside	420.44%	446.24%	473.07%

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Gibus S.p.A. (GBUS.MI)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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