DDM Analysis: GBF.DE

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$45.84 - $70.16	$57.20
Multi-Stage	$60.54 - $66.15	$63.29
Blended Fair Value	$60.25
Current Price	$81.65
Upside	-26.21%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	10.87%	-6.52%	1.79	1.29	5.15	2.09	0.19	1.07	1.12	1.17	0.00	2.35
YoY Growth	-	-	38.89%	-74.91%	146.75%	975.34%	-81.89%	-4.05%	-4.98%	0.00%	-100.00%	-33.23%
Dividend Yield	-	-	2.71%	3.01%	13.17%	6.04%	0.62%	6.97%	3.53%	3.17%	0.00%	6.34%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	185.80
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	107.70
(=) Cash Retained (M)	78.10

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	37.16	23.23	13.94
Cash Retained (M)	78.10	78.10	78.10
(-) Cash Required (M)	-37.16	-23.23	-13.94
(=) Excess Retained (M)	40.94	54.88	64.17
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	37.63	37.63	37.63
(=) Excess Retained per Share	1.09	1.46	1.71
LTM Dividend per Share	2.86	2.86	2.86
(+) Excess Retained per Share	1.09	1.46	1.71
(=) Adjusted Dividend	3.95	4.32	4.57
WACC / Discount Rate	9.80%	9.80%	9.80%
Growth Rate	1.09%	2.09%	3.09%
Fair Value	$45.84	$57.20	$70.16
Upside / Downside	-43.86%	-29.94%	-14.07%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	185.80	189.68	193.64	197.68	201.81	206.02	212.20
Payout Ratio	57.97%	64.37%	70.78%	77.19%	83.59%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	107.70	122.10	137.06	152.58	168.70	185.42	196.29

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.80%	9.80%	9.80%
Growth Rate	1.09%	2.09%	3.09%
Year 1 PV (M)	110.12	111.20	112.29
Year 2 PV (M)	111.47	113.69	115.92
Year 3 PV (M)	111.92	115.27	118.69
Year 4 PV (M)	111.59	116.07	120.69
Year 5 PV (M)	110.61	116.19	122.00
PV of Terminal Value (M)	1,722.34	1,809.23	1,899.59
Equity Value (M)	2,278.04	2,381.65	2,489.18
Shares Outstanding (M)	37.63	37.63	37.63
Fair Value	$60.54	$63.29	$66.15
Upside / Downside	-25.85%	-22.48%	-18.98%

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300453.SZ	Jiangxi Sanxin Medtec Co.,Ltd.	2.42%	$0.21	45.08%
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601236.SS	Hongta Securities Co., Ltd.	2.42%	$0.20	95.69%
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9562.SR	Foods Gate Trading Co.	2.42%	$0.67	13.40%
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NMAN.ST	Nederman Holding AB (publ)	2.42%	$4.00	47.45%
SALIK.AE	Salik Company P.J.S.C.	2.42%	$0.16	83.74%
SKMO.ST	Skåne-möllan AB (publ)	2.42%	$1.40	96.86%
001130.KS	Daehan Flour Mills Co.,Ltd	2.41%	$3,470.92	10.83%
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0U96.L	Everest Re Group, Ltd.	2.41%	$8.07	61.23%
3591.T	Wacoal Holdings Corp.	2.41%	$106.27	49.77%
601966.SS	Shandong Linglong Tyre Co.,Ltd.	2.41%	$0.35	42.43%
7951.T	Yamaha Corporation	2.41%	$26.35	66.95%
BORG.ST	Björn Borg AB (publ)	2.41%	$1.50	43.49%
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Financial Statements

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Bilfinger SE (GBF.DE)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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