DDM Analysis: FVI.MI

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$217.19 - $437.89	$410.36
Multi-Stage	$68.35 - $74.77	$71.50
Blended Fair Value	$240.93
Current Price	$14.90
Upside	1,516.99%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	18.62%	0.00%	0.47	0.40	0.35	0.26	0.21	0.20	0.15	0.00	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	17.42%	14.29%	34.70%	23.83%	4.92%	35.47%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	3.11%	2.25%	2.33%	1.78%	1.83%	1.79%	1.21%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	5.59
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	3.27
(=) Cash Retained (M)	2.32

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	1.12	0.70	0.42
Cash Retained (M)	2.32	2.32	2.32
(-) Cash Required (M)	-1.12	-0.70	-0.42
(=) Excess Retained (M)	1.20	1.62	1.90
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	2.54	2.54	2.54
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.47	0.64	0.75
LTM Dividend per Share	1.29	1.29	1.29
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.47	0.64	0.75
(=) Adjusted Dividend	1.76	1.93	2.04
WACC / Discount Rate	6.36%	6.36%	6.36%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$217.19	$410.36	$437.89
Upside / Downside	1,357.63%	2,654.12%	2,838.83%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	5.59	5.95	6.34	6.75	7.19	7.66	7.89
Payout Ratio	58.52%	64.82%	71.11%	77.41%	83.70%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	3.27	3.86	4.51	5.23	6.02	6.89	7.30

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.36%	6.36%	6.36%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	3.59	3.63	3.66
Year 2 PV (M)	3.91	3.99	4.06
Year 3 PV (M)	4.22	4.35	4.47
Year 4 PV (M)	4.53	4.71	4.88
Year 5 PV (M)	4.83	5.07	5.31
PV of Terminal Value (M)	152.46	159.82	167.47
Equity Value (M)	173.55	181.56	189.86
Shares Outstanding (M)	2.54	2.54	2.54
Fair Value	$68.35	$71.50	$74.77
Upside / Downside	358.71%	379.86%	401.80%

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Fervi S.p.A. (FVI.MI)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener