DDM Analysis: FTAIO

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$103.91 - $262.36	$156.47
Multi-Stage	$119.44 - $131.05	$125.14
Blended Fair Value	$140.80
Current Price	$166.86
Upside	-15.62%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	1.38%	4.81%	1.18	1.16	1.25	1.15	1.10	1.10	1.07	0.97	0.97	0.35
YoY Growth	-	-	1.44%	-6.72%	8.88%	3.91%	0.03%	2.67%	10.52%	0.03%	175.23%	-52.18%
Dividend Yield	-	-	1.06%	1.72%	4.46%	5.21%	4.58%	15.75%	7.33%	7.14%	7.63%	4.15%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	487.95
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	123.07
(=) Cash Retained (M)	364.88

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	97.59	60.99	36.60
Cash Retained (M)	364.88	364.88	364.88
(-) Cash Required (M)	-97.59	-60.99	-36.60
(=) Excess Retained (M)	267.29	303.88	328.28
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	102.95	102.95	102.95
(=) Excess Retained per Share	2.60	2.95	3.19
LTM Dividend per Share	1.20	1.20	1.20
(+) Excess Retained per Share	2.60	2.95	3.19
(=) Adjusted Dividend	3.79	4.15	4.38
WACC / Discount Rate	6.56%	6.56%	6.56%
Growth Rate	2.81%	3.81%	4.81%
Fair Value	$103.91	$156.47	$262.36
Upside / Downside	-37.72%	-6.23%	57.23%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	487.95	506.54	525.84	545.88	566.68	588.27	605.92
Payout Ratio	25.22%	38.18%	51.13%	64.09%	77.04%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	123.07	193.39	268.88	349.85	436.60	529.45	560.48

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.56%	6.56%	6.56%
Growth Rate	2.81%	3.81%	4.81%
Year 1 PV (M)	179.73	181.48	183.23
Year 2 PV (M)	232.25	236.79	241.37
Year 3 PV (M)	280.84	289.12	297.55
Year 4 PV (M)	325.73	338.59	351.83
Year 5 PV (M)	367.11	385.31	404.23
PV of Terminal Value (M)	10,910.91	11,451.97	12,014.28
Equity Value (M)	12,296.57	12,883.26	13,492.49
Shares Outstanding (M)	102.95	102.95	102.95
Fair Value	$119.44	$125.14	$131.05
Upside / Downside	-28.42%	-25.00%	-21.46%

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FTAI Aviation Ltd. (FTAIO)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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