DDM Analysis: FPT.BK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$9.05 - $15.07	$11.70
Multi-Stage	$26.36 - $29.06	$27.68
Blended Fair Value	$19.69
Current Price	$6.30
Upside	212.58%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	13.86%	0.37%	0.41	0.44	0.34	0.60	0.43	0.21	0.08	0.06	0.24	0.24
YoY Growth	-	-	-6.74%	28.87%	-43.33%	40.74%	99.67%	170.00%	24.99%	-73.30%	0.05%	-39.88%
Dividend Yield	-	-	3.47%	2.89%	2.23%	4.97%	3.47%	1.44%	0.59%	0.36%	1.55%	2.03%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	1,825.09
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	738.90
(=) Cash Retained (M)	1,086.19

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	365.02	228.14	136.88
Cash Retained (M)	1,086.19	1,086.19	1,086.19
(-) Cash Required (M)	-365.02	-228.14	-136.88
(=) Excess Retained (M)	721.17	858.05	949.31
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	2,314.75	2,314.75	2,314.75
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.31	0.37	0.41
LTM Dividend per Share	0.32	0.32	0.32
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.31	0.37	0.41
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.63	0.69	0.73
WACC / Discount Rate	5.22%	5.22%	5.22%
Growth Rate	-1.63%	-0.63%	0.37%
Fair Value	$9.05	$11.70	$15.07
Upside / Downside	43.62%	85.78%	139.21%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	1,825.09	1,813.51	1,802.01	1,790.57	1,779.21	1,767.93	1,820.97
Payout Ratio	40.49%	50.39%	60.29%	70.19%	80.10%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	738.90	913.80	1,086.46	1,256.88	1,425.10	1,591.13	1,684.39

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	5.22%	5.22%	5.22%
Growth Rate	-1.63%	-0.63%	0.37%
Year 1 PV (M)	859.71	868.45	877.19
Year 2 PV (M)	961.63	981.28	1,001.13
Year 3 PV (M)	1,046.61	1,078.86	1,111.76
Year 4 PV (M)	1,116.44	1,162.54	1,210.05
Year 5 PV (M)	1,172.72	1,233.55	1,296.89
PV of Terminal Value (M)	55,851.45	58,748.73	61,765.03
Equity Value (M)	61,008.55	64,073.41	67,262.03
Shares Outstanding (M)	2,314.75	2,314.75	2,314.75
Fair Value	$26.36	$27.68	$29.06
Upside / Downside	318.36%	339.37%	361.24%

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Frasers Property (Thailand) Public Company Limited (FPT.BK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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