Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Fibra Mty, S.A.P.I. de C.V. (FMTY14.MX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$15.62 - $23.04$19.18
Multi-Stage$28.74 - $31.57$30.13
Blended Fair Value$24.65
Current Price$13.14
Upside87.62%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS104.14%0.00%0.850.050.430.030.070.020.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--1,769.37%-89.38%1,446.41%-61.71%201.72%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--7.20%0.40%3.49%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)4,826.74
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,242.05
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,584.70
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)965.35603.34362.01
Cash Retained (M)2,584.702,584.702,584.70
(-) Cash Required (M)-965.35-603.34-362.01
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,619.351,981.352,222.69
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,428.212,428.212,428.21
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.670.820.92
LTM Dividend per Share0.920.920.92
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.670.820.92
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.591.741.84
WACC / Discount Rate7.98%7.98%7.98%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$15.62$19.18$23.04
Upside / Downside18.85%45.95%75.38%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)4,826.744,778.484,730.694,683.384,636.554,590.184,727.89
Payout Ratio46.45%55.16%63.87%72.58%81.29%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,242.052,635.833,021.513,399.213,769.064,131.174,373.30

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.98%7.98%7.98%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)2,416.402,441.062,465.72
Year 2 PV (M)2,539.392,591.482,644.09
Year 3 PV (M)2,619.002,700.002,782.64
Year 4 PV (M)2,662.222,772.552,886.28
Year 5 PV (M)2,675.072,814.372,959.41
PV of Terminal Value (M)56,879.1159,840.9462,924.89
Equity Value (M)69,791.2073,160.4076,663.04
Shares Outstanding (M)2,428.212,428.212,428.21
Fair Value$28.74$30.13$31.57
Upside / Downside118.74%129.30%140.27%

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