DDM Analysis: FMBH

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$107.09 - $416.38	$181.49
Multi-Stage	$67.24 - $73.50	$70.31
Blended Fair Value	$125.90
Current Price	$37.88
Upside	232.37%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	13.53%	23.79%	0.93	0.82	0.74	0.61	0.53	0.50	0.37	0.30	0.22	0.15
YoY Growth	-	-	14.39%	9.69%	21.12%	14.88%	8.02%	34.93%	21.64%	36.97%	51.33%	31.68%
Dividend Yield	-	-	2.68%	2.57%	2.73%	1.60%	1.22%	2.09%	1.10%	0.83%	0.65%	0.60%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	87.24
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	23.14
(=) Cash Retained (M)	64.10

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	17.45	10.90	6.54
Cash Retained (M)	64.10	64.10	64.10
(-) Cash Required (M)	-17.45	-10.90	-6.54
(=) Excess Retained (M)	46.65	53.20	57.56
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	23.96	23.96	23.96
(=) Excess Retained per Share	1.95	2.22	2.40
LTM Dividend per Share	0.97	0.97	0.97
(+) Excess Retained per Share	1.95	2.22	2.40
(=) Adjusted Dividend	2.91	3.19	3.37
WACC / Discount Rate	8.37%	8.37%	8.37%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$107.09	$181.49	$416.38
Upside / Downside	182.72%	379.12%	999.20%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	87.24	92.91	98.95	105.38	112.23	119.52	123.11
Payout Ratio	26.52%	39.22%	51.91%	64.61%	77.30%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	23.14	36.44	51.37	68.09	86.76	107.57	113.88

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	8.37%	8.37%	8.37%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	33.31	33.62	33.94
Year 2 PV (M)	42.92	43.74	44.57
Year 3 PV (M)	52.00	53.50	55.02
Year 4 PV (M)	60.58	62.91	65.30
Year 5 PV (M)	68.66	71.97	75.42
PV of Terminal Value (M)	1,353.56	1,418.94	1,486.81
Equity Value (M)	1,611.03	1,684.67	1,761.06
Shares Outstanding (M)	23.96	23.96	23.96
Fair Value	$67.24	$70.31	$73.50
Upside / Downside	77.51%	85.62%	94.04%

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First Mid Bancshares, Inc. (FMBH)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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