Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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ForFarmers N.V. (FFARM.AS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Agricultural Farm ProductsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$10.05 - $17.54$13.25
Multi-Stage$19.38 - $21.27$20.31
Blended Fair Value$16.78
Current Price$4.00
Upside319.49%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-15.06%-1.03%0.150.230.290.300.290.330.330.290.280.21
YoY Growth---36.59%-18.97%-4.20%1.34%-11.38%-0.23%14.82%3.79%32.22%29.74%
Dividend Yield--4.36%9.74%9.76%7.39%5.52%5.79%4.14%2.81%4.21%3.04%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)68.40
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)58.70
(=) Cash Retained (M)9.70
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)13.688.555.13
Cash Retained (M)9.709.709.70
(-) Cash Required (M)-13.68-8.55-5.13
(=) Excess Retained (M)-3.981.154.57
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)88.4488.4488.44
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.050.010.05
LTM Dividend per Share0.660.660.66
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.050.010.05
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.620.680.72
WACC / Discount Rate6.31%6.31%6.31%
Growth Rate0.14%1.14%2.14%
Fair Value$10.05$13.25$17.54
Upside / Downside151.22%231.24%338.51%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)68.4069.1869.9770.7771.5872.4074.57
Payout Ratio85.82%86.65%87.49%88.33%89.16%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)58.7059.9561.2262.5163.8265.1668.98

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.31%6.31%6.31%
Growth Rate0.14%1.14%2.14%
Year 1 PV (M)55.8356.3956.95
Year 2 PV (M)53.1054.1755.25
Year 3 PV (M)50.5052.0353.59
Year 4 PV (M)48.0249.9751.98
Year 5 PV (M)45.6647.9950.41
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,461.121,535.541,612.97
Equity Value (M)1,714.241,796.091,881.13
Shares Outstanding (M)88.4488.4488.44
Fair Value$19.38$20.31$21.27
Upside / Downside384.60%407.73%431.78%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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