DDM Analysis: FCX

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$23.21 - $44.42	$31.73
Multi-Stage	$18.25 - $19.88	$19.05
Blended Fair Value	$25.39
Current Price	$39.22
Upside	-35.27%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	24.34%	-4.03%	0.60	0.60	0.60	0.23	0.05	0.20	0.15	0.00	0.00	0.42
YoY Growth	-	-	0.23%	-0.35%	161.63%	353.42%	-74.91%	33.49%	10,800.00%	-66.67%	-99.01%	-53.64%
Dividend Yield	-	-	1.58%	1.26%	1.47%	0.46%	0.15%	2.99%	1.15%	0.01%	0.03%	4.05%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	2,066.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	865.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	1,201.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	413.20	258.25	154.95
Cash Retained (M)	1,201.00	1,201.00	1,201.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-413.20	-258.25	-154.95
(=) Excess Retained (M)	787.80	942.75	1,046.05
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	1,444.00	1,444.00	1,444.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.55	0.65	0.72
LTM Dividend per Share	0.60	0.60	0.60
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.55	0.65	0.72
(=) Adjusted Dividend	1.14	1.25	1.32
WACC / Discount Rate	10.70%	10.70%	10.70%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$23.21	$31.73	$44.42
Upside / Downside	-40.82%	-19.11%	13.27%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	2,066.00	2,200.29	2,343.31	2,495.62	2,657.84	2,830.60	2,915.52
Payout Ratio	41.87%	51.49%	61.12%	70.75%	80.37%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	865.00	1,133.03	1,432.25	1,765.59	2,136.20	2,547.54	2,696.85

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	10.70%	10.70%	10.70%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	1,013.88	1,023.49	1,033.10
Year 2 PV (M)	1,146.86	1,168.71	1,190.76
Year 3 PV (M)	1,265.10	1,301.42	1,338.42
Year 4 PV (M)	1,369.70	1,422.37	1,476.55
Year 5 PV (M)	1,461.66	1,532.26	1,605.56
PV of Terminal Value (M)	20,088.71	21,059.00	22,066.43
Equity Value (M)	26,345.92	27,507.26	28,710.83
Shares Outstanding (M)	1,444.00	1,444.00	1,444.00
Fair Value	$18.25	$19.05	$19.88
Upside / Downside	-53.48%	-51.43%	-49.30%

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112610.KS	CS Wind Corporation	2.43%	$982.89	21.73%
300452.SZ	Anhui Sunhere Pharmaceutical Excipients Co.,Ltd.	2.43%	$0.33	58.46%
603599.SS	Anhui Guangxin Agrochemical Co., Ltd.	2.43%	$0.28	35.02%
605286.SS	Jiangsu Tongli Risheng Machinery Co., Ltd.	2.43%	$0.99	75.51%
9569.SR	Almuneef Company for Trade, Industry, Agriculture and Contracting	2.43%	$0.20	19.26%
ALV	Autoliv, Inc.	2.43%	$2.97	30.32%
KEPEN.AT	Flour Mills Kepenos S.A.	2.43%	$0.05	39.82%
MSAB-B.ST	Micro Systemation AB (publ)	2.43%	$1.50	65.33%
NEOE3.SA	Neoenergia S.A.	2.43%	$0.77	21.26%
OV8.SI	Sheng Siong Group Ltd	2.43%	$0.06	66.54%
VIL.PA	VIEL & Cie, S.A.	2.43%	$0.40	12.44%
002236.SZ	Zhejiang Dahua Technology Co., Ltd.	2.42%	$0.46	38.43%
006730.KQ	Seobu T&D Co., Ltd.	2.42%	$309.73	27.66%
071050.KS	Korea Investment Holdings Co., Ltd.	2.42%	$3,984.93	13.09%
0DQK.L	Beter Bed Holding N.V.	2.42%	$0.15	53.98%
2409.TW	AUO Corporation	2.42%	$0.31	41.22%
300453.SZ	Jiangxi Sanxin Medtec Co.,Ltd.	2.42%	$0.21	45.08%
600064.SS	Nanjing Gaoke Company Limited	2.42%	$0.21	15.60%
601236.SS	Hongta Securities Co., Ltd.	2.42%	$0.20	95.69%
9550.SR	Sure Global Tech Company	2.42%	$1.52	28.67%
9562.SR	Foods Gate Trading Co.	2.42%	$0.67	13.40%
AEONTS-R.BK	AEON Thana Sinsap (Thailand) Public Company Limited	2.42%	$2.60	21.04%
NMAN.ST	Nederman Holding AB (publ)	2.42%	$4.00	47.45%
SALIK.AE	Salik Company P.J.S.C.	2.42%	$0.16	83.74%
SKMO.ST	Skåne-möllan AB (publ)	2.42%	$1.40	96.86%
001130.KS	Daehan Flour Mills Co.,Ltd	2.41%	$3,470.92	10.83%
080160.KQ	Modetour Network Inc.	2.41%	$249.37	24.80%
0U96.L	Everest Re Group, Ltd.	2.41%	$8.07	61.23%
3591.T	Wacoal Holdings Corp.	2.41%	$106.27	49.77%
601966.SS	Shandong Linglong Tyre Co.,Ltd.	2.41%	$0.35	42.43%
7951.T	Yamaha Corporation	2.41%	$26.35	66.95%
BORG.ST	Björn Borg AB (publ)	2.41%	$1.50	43.49%
EIOF.OL	Eidesvik Offshore ASA	2.41%	$0.30	28.32%
ETTE.HE	Etteplan Oyj	2.41%	$0.23	71.21%
ZZ-B.ST	Zinzino AB (publ)	2.41%	$3.76	58.64%
002968.SZ	New Dazheng Property Group Co., Ltd.	2.40%	$0.29	59.28%
0NZN.L	Robertet S.A.	2.40%	$21.10	23.60%
4015.SR	Jamjoom Pharmaceuticals Factory Company	2.40%	$3.46	54.14%
7703.TWO	Rayzher	2.40%	$5.49	59.71%
BBL.AX	Brisbane Broncos Limited	2.40%	$0.04	25.15%
002158.SZ	Shanghai Hanbell Precise Machinery Co., Ltd.	2.39%	$0.60	60.14%
004690.KS	Samchully Co.,Ltd	2.39%	$3,000.02	10.30%
0GVS.L	Catena AB (publ)	2.39%	$8.76	32.84%
300577.SZ	Anhui Korrun Co., Ltd.	2.39%	$0.51	36.22%
3044.TW	Tripod Technology Corporation	2.39%	$7.48	42.14%
603080.SS	Xinjiang Torch Gas Co., Ltd	2.39%	$0.57	43.55%
6780.TWO	Study King Co., Ltd.	2.39%	$0.80	89.60%
6804.T	Hosiden Corporation	2.39%	$59.44	25.81%
KBLM.JK	PT Kabelindo Murni Tbk	2.39%	$8.08	12.05%
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Freeport-McMoRan Inc. (FCX)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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