DDM Analysis: FANG

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$359.43 - $1,034.34	$563.15
Multi-Stage	$241.33 - $263.68	$252.30
Blended Fair Value	$407.73
Current Price	$143.10
Upside	184.92%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	69.74%	0.00%	5.42	4.96	5.40	1.07	0.81	0.38	0.13	0.00	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	9.28%	-8.14%	403.85%	32.20%	110.71%	202.70%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	3.39%	2.49%	4.00%	0.78%	1.10%	1.47%	0.12%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	4,196.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	1,132.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	3,064.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	839.20	524.50	314.70
Cash Retained (M)	3,064.00	3,064.00	3,064.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-839.20	-524.50	-314.70
(=) Excess Retained (M)	2,224.80	2,539.50	2,749.30
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	290.95	290.95	290.95
(=) Excess Retained per Share	7.65	8.73	9.45
LTM Dividend per Share	3.89	3.89	3.89
(+) Excess Retained per Share	7.65	8.73	9.45
(=) Adjusted Dividend	11.54	12.62	13.34
WACC / Discount Rate	8.89%	8.89%	8.89%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$359.43	$563.15	$1,034.34
Upside / Downside	151.18%	293.54%	622.81%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	4,196.00	4,468.74	4,759.21	5,068.56	5,398.01	5,748.88	5,921.35
Payout Ratio	26.98%	39.58%	52.19%	64.79%	77.40%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	1,132.00	1,768.84	2,483.68	3,283.98	4,177.83	5,174.00	5,477.25

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	8.89%	8.89%	8.89%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	1,609.23	1,624.48	1,639.73
Year 2 PV (M)	2,055.67	2,094.83	2,134.35
Year 3 PV (M)	2,472.79	2,543.78	2,616.11
Year 4 PV (M)	2,861.98	2,972.04	3,085.25
Year 5 PV (M)	3,224.56	3,380.31	3,542.02
PV of Terminal Value (M)	57,989.86	60,790.79	63,698.92
Equity Value (M)	70,214.08	73,406.22	76,716.37
Shares Outstanding (M)	290.95	290.95	290.95
Fair Value	$241.33	$252.30	$263.68
Upside / Downside	68.64%	76.31%	84.26%

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Ticker ⇵	Company ⇵	Dividend Yield % ▼	Dividend Per Share ⇵	Payout Ratio % ⇵
112610.KS	CS Wind Corporation	2.43%	$982.89	21.73%
300452.SZ	Anhui Sunhere Pharmaceutical Excipients Co.,Ltd.	2.43%	$0.33	58.46%
603599.SS	Anhui Guangxin Agrochemical Co., Ltd.	2.43%	$0.28	35.02%
605286.SS	Jiangsu Tongli Risheng Machinery Co., Ltd.	2.43%	$0.99	75.51%
9569.SR	Almuneef Company for Trade, Industry, Agriculture and Contracting	2.43%	$0.20	19.26%
ALV	Autoliv, Inc.	2.43%	$2.97	30.32%
KEPEN.AT	Flour Mills Kepenos S.A.	2.43%	$0.05	39.82%
MSAB-B.ST	Micro Systemation AB (publ)	2.43%	$1.50	65.33%
NEOE3.SA	Neoenergia S.A.	2.43%	$0.77	21.26%
OV8.SI	Sheng Siong Group Ltd	2.43%	$0.06	66.54%
VIL.PA	VIEL & Cie, S.A.	2.43%	$0.40	12.44%
002236.SZ	Zhejiang Dahua Technology Co., Ltd.	2.42%	$0.46	38.43%
006730.KQ	Seobu T&D Co., Ltd.	2.42%	$309.73	27.66%
071050.KS	Korea Investment Holdings Co., Ltd.	2.42%	$3,984.93	13.09%
0DQK.L	Beter Bed Holding N.V.	2.42%	$0.15	53.98%
2409.TW	AUO Corporation	2.42%	$0.31	41.22%
300453.SZ	Jiangxi Sanxin Medtec Co.,Ltd.	2.42%	$0.21	45.08%
600064.SS	Nanjing Gaoke Company Limited	2.42%	$0.21	15.60%
601236.SS	Hongta Securities Co., Ltd.	2.42%	$0.20	95.69%
9550.SR	Sure Global Tech Company	2.42%	$1.52	28.67%
9562.SR	Foods Gate Trading Co.	2.42%	$0.67	13.40%
AEONTS-R.BK	AEON Thana Sinsap (Thailand) Public Company Limited	2.42%	$2.60	21.04%
NMAN.ST	Nederman Holding AB (publ)	2.42%	$4.00	47.45%
SALIK.AE	Salik Company P.J.S.C.	2.42%	$0.16	83.74%
SKMO.ST	Skåne-möllan AB (publ)	2.42%	$1.40	96.86%
001130.KS	Daehan Flour Mills Co.,Ltd	2.41%	$3,470.92	10.83%
080160.KQ	Modetour Network Inc.	2.41%	$249.37	24.80%
0U96.L	Everest Re Group, Ltd.	2.41%	$8.07	61.23%
3591.T	Wacoal Holdings Corp.	2.41%	$106.27	49.77%
601966.SS	Shandong Linglong Tyre Co.,Ltd.	2.41%	$0.35	42.43%
7951.T	Yamaha Corporation	2.41%	$26.35	66.95%
BORG.ST	Björn Borg AB (publ)	2.41%	$1.50	43.49%
EIOF.OL	Eidesvik Offshore ASA	2.41%	$0.30	28.32%
ETTE.HE	Etteplan Oyj	2.41%	$0.23	71.21%
ZZ-B.ST	Zinzino AB (publ)	2.41%	$3.76	58.64%
002968.SZ	New Dazheng Property Group Co., Ltd.	2.40%	$0.29	59.28%
0NZN.L	Robertet S.A.	2.40%	$21.10	23.60%
4015.SR	Jamjoom Pharmaceuticals Factory Company	2.40%	$3.46	54.14%
7703.TWO	Rayzher	2.40%	$5.49	59.71%
BBL.AX	Brisbane Broncos Limited	2.40%	$0.04	25.15%
002158.SZ	Shanghai Hanbell Precise Machinery Co., Ltd.	2.39%	$0.60	60.14%
004690.KS	Samchully Co.,Ltd	2.39%	$3,000.02	10.30%
0GVS.L	Catena AB (publ)	2.39%	$8.76	32.84%
300577.SZ	Anhui Korrun Co., Ltd.	2.39%	$0.51	36.22%
3044.TW	Tripod Technology Corporation	2.39%	$7.48	42.14%
603080.SS	Xinjiang Torch Gas Co., Ltd	2.39%	$0.57	43.55%
6780.TWO	Study King Co., Ltd.	2.39%	$0.80	89.60%
6804.T	Hosiden Corporation	2.39%	$59.44	25.81%
KBLM.JK	PT Kabelindo Murni Tbk	2.39%	$8.08	12.05%
SCANFL.HE	Scanfil Oyj	2.39%	$0.24	42.33%

Financial Statements

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Diamondback Energy, Inc. (FANG)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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