DDM Analysis: F-PC

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$23.05 - $52.06	$33.45
Multi-Stage	$27.12 - $29.69	$28.38
Blended Fair Value	$30.92
Current Price	$11.96
Upside	158.49%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	5.47%	4.79%	0.78	1.24	0.50	0.10	0.15	0.60	0.72	0.64	0.84	0.59
YoY Growth	-	-	-37.58%	148.63%	398.51%	-32.38%	-75.05%	-17.76%	12.42%	-23.46%	41.85%	21.93%
Dividend Yield	-	-	7.74%	9.36%	3.97%	0.59%	1.21%	12.32%	8.06%	5.81%	7.22%	4.39%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	4,706.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	2,986.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	1,720.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	941.20	588.25	352.95
Cash Retained (M)	1,720.00	1,720.00	1,720.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-941.20	-588.25	-352.95
(=) Excess Retained (M)	778.80	1,131.75	1,367.05
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	4,014.63	4,014.63	4,014.63
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.19	0.28	0.34
LTM Dividend per Share	0.74	0.74	0.74
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.19	0.28	0.34
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.94	1.03	1.08
WACC / Discount Rate	6.98%	6.98%	6.98%
Growth Rate	2.79%	3.79%	4.79%
Fair Value	$23.05	$33.45	$52.06
Upside / Downside	92.70%	179.69%	335.29%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	4,706.00	4,884.58	5,069.94	5,262.33	5,462.03	5,669.30	5,839.38
Payout Ratio	63.45%	68.76%	74.07%	79.38%	84.69%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	2,986.00	3,358.67	3,755.33	4,177.26	4,625.80	5,102.37	5,401.42

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.98%	6.98%	6.98%
Growth Rate	2.79%	3.79%	4.79%
Year 1 PV (M)	3,109.36	3,139.61	3,169.86
Year 2 PV (M)	3,218.51	3,281.44	3,344.97
Year 3 PV (M)	3,314.38	3,412.05	3,511.62
Year 4 PV (M)	3,397.82	3,531.98	3,670.08
Year 5 PV (M)	3,469.68	3,641.76	3,820.61
PV of Terminal Value (M)	92,347.49	96,927.58	101,687.61
Equity Value (M)	108,857.25	113,934.42	119,204.75
Shares Outstanding (M)	4,014.63	4,014.63	4,014.63
Fair Value	$27.12	$28.38	$29.69
Upside / Downside	126.72%	137.29%	148.27%

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Ford Motor Company 6% Notes due (F-PC)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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