DDM Analysis: ESSITY-A.ST

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$229.95 - $398.68	$302.36
Multi-Stage	$352.23 - $386.43	$369.01
Blended Fair Value	$335.68
Current Price	$245.80
Upside	36.57%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	6.15%	0.00%	7.86	7.36	7.10	6.85	6.34	5.83	5.83	0.00	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	6.89%	3.58%	3.69%	8.00%	8.72%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	2.76%	2.89%	2.40%	3.08%	2.30%	1.91%	2.19%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	12,322.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	5,711.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	6,611.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	2,464.40	1,540.25	924.15
Cash Retained (M)	6,611.00	6,611.00	6,611.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-2,464.40	-1,540.25	-924.15
(=) Excess Retained (M)	4,146.60	5,070.75	5,686.85
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	692.18	692.18	692.18
(=) Excess Retained per Share	5.99	7.33	8.22
LTM Dividend per Share	8.25	8.25	8.25
(+) Excess Retained per Share	5.99	7.33	8.22
(=) Adjusted Dividend	14.24	15.58	16.47
WACC / Discount Rate	7.20%	7.20%	7.20%
Growth Rate	0.95%	1.95%	2.95%
Fair Value	$229.95	$302.36	$398.68
Upside / Downside	-6.45%	23.01%	62.20%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	12,322.00	12,562.23	12,807.14	13,056.82	13,311.38	13,570.89	13,978.02
Payout Ratio	46.35%	55.08%	63.81%	72.54%	81.27%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	5,711.00	6,919.07	8,172.08	9,471.31	10,818.10	12,213.80	12,929.67

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.20%	7.20%	7.20%
Growth Rate	0.95%	1.95%	2.95%
Year 1 PV (M)	6,390.95	6,454.26	6,517.57
Year 2 PV (M)	6,972.16	7,110.98	7,251.16
Year 3 PV (M)	7,463.85	7,687.86	7,916.31
Year 4 PV (M)	7,874.46	8,191.15	8,517.29
Year 5 PV (M)	8,211.80	8,626.66	9,058.13
PV of Terminal Value (M)	206,895.76	217,348.28	228,219.05
Equity Value (M)	243,808.98	255,419.19	267,479.51
Shares Outstanding (M)	692.18	692.18	692.18
Fair Value	$352.23	$369.01	$386.43
Upside / Downside	43.30%	50.13%	57.21%

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Essity AB (publ) (ESSITY-A.ST)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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