DDM Analysis: ESP

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$67.21 - $163.86	$100.07
Multi-Stage	$74.24 - $81.32	$77.71
Blended Fair Value	$88.89
Current Price	$39.61
Upside	124.41%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	1.69%	4.34%	0.94	0.61	0.18	0.00	0.44	0.86	1.72	0.84	0.84	1.03
YoY Growth	-	-	54.78%	242.98%	0.00%	-100.00%	-49.70%	-49.58%	103.34%	0.96%	-18.94%	67.62%
Dividend Yield	-	-	2.37%	2.02%	1.10%	0.00%	2.99%	4.55%	7.23%	2.81%	3.71%	4.08%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	8.71
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	4.71
(=) Cash Retained (M)	4.01

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	1.74	1.09	0.65
Cash Retained (M)	4.01	4.01	4.01
(-) Cash Required (M)	-1.74	-1.09	-0.65
(=) Excess Retained (M)	2.26	2.92	3.35
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	2.76	2.76	2.76
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.82	1.06	1.21
LTM Dividend per Share	1.70	1.70	1.70
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.82	1.06	1.21
(=) Adjusted Dividend	2.52	2.76	2.92
WACC / Discount Rate	6.93%	6.93%	6.93%
Growth Rate	3.06%	4.06%	5.06%
Fair Value	$67.21	$100.07	$163.86
Upside / Downside	69.67%	152.63%	313.67%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	8.71	9.07	9.44	9.82	10.22	10.63	10.95
Payout Ratio	54.01%	61.21%	68.41%	75.60%	82.80%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	4.71	5.55	6.45	7.42	8.46	9.57	10.13

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.93%	6.93%	6.93%
Growth Rate	3.06%	4.06%	5.06%
Year 1 PV (M)	5.14	5.19	5.24
Year 2 PV (M)	5.54	5.65	5.75
Year 3 PV (M)	5.90	6.07	6.25
Year 4 PV (M)	6.23	6.47	6.72
Year 5 PV (M)	6.52	6.84	7.18
PV of Terminal Value (M)	175.67	184.36	193.39
Equity Value (M)	204.99	214.58	224.53
Shares Outstanding (M)	2.76	2.76	2.76
Fair Value	$74.24	$77.71	$81.32
Upside / Downside	87.43%	96.20%	105.30%

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Espey Mfg. & Electronics Corp. (ESP)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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