DDM Analysis: ESAB

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$27.21 - $38.86	$32.92
Multi-Stage	$41.37 - $45.49	$43.39
Blended Fair Value	$38.16
Current Price	$117.56
Upside	-67.54%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019
DPS	0.00%	0.00%	0.28	0.22	0.10	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	27.36%	120.38%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.26%	0.20%	0.17%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	242.84
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	20.68
(=) Cash Retained (M)	222.16

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	48.57	30.35	18.21
Cash Retained (M)	222.16	222.16	222.16
(-) Cash Required (M)	-48.57	-30.35	-18.21
(=) Excess Retained (M)	173.59	191.80	203.95
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	60.83	60.83	60.83
(=) Excess Retained per Share	2.85	3.15	3.35
LTM Dividend per Share	0.34	0.34	0.34
(+) Excess Retained per Share	2.85	3.15	3.35
(=) Adjusted Dividend	3.19	3.49	3.69
WACC / Discount Rate	9.50%	9.50%	9.50%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Fair Value	$27.21	$32.92	$38.86
Upside / Downside	-76.86%	-71.99%	-66.95%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	242.84	240.41	238.00	235.62	233.27	230.94	237.86
Payout Ratio	8.52%	24.81%	41.11%	57.41%	73.70%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	20.68	59.65	97.84	135.26	171.93	207.84	220.02

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.50%	9.50%	9.50%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)	53.92	54.47	55.02
Year 2 PV (M)	79.96	81.60	83.25
Year 3 PV (M)	99.93	103.02	106.17
Year 4 PV (M)	114.82	119.58	124.48
Year 5 PV (M)	125.48	132.01	138.81
PV of Terminal Value (M)	2,042.74	2,149.11	2,259.86
Equity Value (M)	2,516.84	2,639.78	2,767.60
Shares Outstanding (M)	60.83	60.83	60.83
Fair Value	$41.37	$43.39	$45.49
Upside / Downside	-64.81%	-63.09%	-61.30%

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ESAB Corporation (ESAB)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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