DDM Analysis: ERES

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$5.86 - $9.27	$7.42
Multi-Stage	$14.46 - $15.95	$15.19
Blended Fair Value	$11.30
Current Price	$10.85
Upside	4.17%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020
DPS	0.00%	0.00%	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	-100.00%	84.07%	9.28%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.00%	0.13%	0.07%	0.07%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	28.58
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	0.44
(=) Cash Retained (M)	28.14

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	5.72	3.57	2.14
Cash Retained (M)	28.14	28.14	28.14
(-) Cash Required (M)	-5.72	-3.57	-2.14
(=) Excess Retained (M)	22.42	24.57	26.00
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	48.54	48.54	48.54
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.46	0.51	0.54
LTM Dividend per Share	0.01	0.01	0.01
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.46	0.51	0.54
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.47	0.52	0.54
WACC / Discount Rate	5.88%	5.88%	5.88%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Fair Value	$5.86	$7.42	$9.27
Upside / Downside	-46.00%	-31.66%	-14.61%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	28.58	28.30	28.01	27.73	27.46	27.18	28.00
Payout Ratio	1.55%	19.24%	36.93%	54.62%	72.31%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	0.44	5.44	10.34	15.15	19.85	24.46	25.90

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	5.88%	5.88%	5.88%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)	5.09	5.14	5.19
Year 2 PV (M)	9.04	9.23	9.42
Year 3 PV (M)	12.38	12.76	13.15
Year 4 PV (M)	15.17	15.80	16.45
Year 5 PV (M)	17.47	18.38	19.33
PV of Terminal Value (M)	642.54	676.00	710.84
Equity Value (M)	701.70	737.31	774.38
Shares Outstanding (M)	48.54	48.54	48.54
Fair Value	$14.46	$15.19	$15.95
Upside / Downside	33.24%	40.00%	47.04%

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Financial Statements

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Sector

East Resources Acquisition Company (ERES)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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