DDM Analysis: EQT

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$73.70 - $215.69	$116.03
Multi-Stage	$48.96 - $53.51	$51.19
Blended Fair Value	$83.61
Current Price	$54.43
Upside	53.61%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	60.51%	33.47%	0.54	0.37	0.33	0.00	0.01	0.05	0.05	0.03	0.03	0.03
YoY Growth	-	-	43.02%	12.13%	0.00%	-100.00%	-75.00%	-2.29%	50.65%	3.33%	10.08%	0.57%
Dividend Yield	-	-	1.00%	1.01%	1.05%	0.00%	0.07%	0.71%	0.25%	0.13%	0.10%	0.08%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	1,780.54
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	380.64
(=) Cash Retained (M)	1,399.90

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	356.11	222.57	133.54
Cash Retained (M)	1,399.90	1,399.90	1,399.90
(-) Cash Required (M)	-356.11	-222.57	-133.54
(=) Excess Retained (M)	1,043.79	1,177.34	1,266.36
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	609.15	609.15	609.15
(=) Excess Retained per Share	1.71	1.93	2.08
LTM Dividend per Share	0.62	0.62	0.62
(+) Excess Retained per Share	1.71	1.93	2.08
(=) Adjusted Dividend	2.34	2.56	2.70
WACC / Discount Rate	8.85%	8.85%	8.85%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$73.70	$116.03	$215.69
Upside / Downside	35.39%	113.17%	296.27%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	1,780.54	1,896.28	2,019.54	2,150.81	2,290.61	2,439.50	2,512.68
Payout Ratio	21.38%	35.10%	48.83%	62.55%	76.28%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	380.64	665.64	986.07	1,345.35	1,747.17	2,195.55	2,324.23

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	8.85%	8.85%	8.85%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	605.79	611.53	617.27
Year 2 PV (M)	816.73	832.28	847.99
Year 3 PV (M)	1,014.12	1,043.23	1,072.89
Year 4 PV (M)	1,198.60	1,244.69	1,292.10
Year 5 PV (M)	1,370.77	1,436.98	1,505.72
PV of Terminal Value (M)	24,815.60	26,014.21	27,258.68
Equity Value (M)	29,821.60	31,182.92	32,594.66
Shares Outstanding (M)	609.15	609.15	609.15
Fair Value	$48.96	$51.19	$53.51
Upside / Downside	-10.06%	-5.95%	-1.69%

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EQT Corporation (EQT)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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