DDM Analysis: EMR

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$31.45 - $46.16	$38.53
Multi-Stage	$49.07 - $53.75	$51.37
Blended Fair Value	$44.95
Current Price	$131.18
Upside	-65.74%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	-0.28%	-0.62%	2.10	2.12	2.11	2.16	2.14	2.13	2.13	2.17	2.19	2.17
YoY Growth	-	-	-0.75%	0.25%	-2.04%	1.07%	0.08%	0.00%	-1.63%	-0.81%	0.98%	-3.31%
Dividend Yield	-	-	1.60%	1.71%	2.17%	2.25%	2.30%	2.65%	2.80%	3.63%	3.14%	3.88%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	2,293.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	1,192.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	1,101.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	458.60	286.63	171.98
Cash Retained (M)	1,101.00	1,101.00	1,101.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-458.60	-286.63	-171.98
(=) Excess Retained (M)	642.40	814.38	929.03
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	566.68	566.68	566.68
(=) Excess Retained per Share	1.13	1.44	1.64
LTM Dividend per Share	2.10	2.10	2.10
(+) Excess Retained per Share	1.13	1.44	1.64
(=) Adjusted Dividend	3.24	3.54	3.74
WACC / Discount Rate	9.23%	9.23%	9.23%
Growth Rate	-0.96%	0.04%	1.04%
Fair Value	$31.45	$38.53	$46.16
Upside / Downside	-76.02%	-70.63%	-64.82%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	2,293.00	2,293.86	2,294.73	2,295.59	2,296.45	2,297.32	2,366.24
Payout Ratio	51.98%	59.59%	67.19%	74.79%	82.40%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	1,192.00	1,366.85	1,541.84	1,716.96	1,892.21	2,067.59	2,188.77

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.23%	9.23%	9.23%
Growth Rate	-0.96%	0.04%	1.04%
Year 1 PV (M)	1,238.83	1,251.34	1,263.85
Year 2 PV (M)	1,266.54	1,292.25	1,318.21
Year 3 PV (M)	1,278.29	1,317.41	1,357.31
Year 4 PV (M)	1,276.82	1,329.18	1,383.12
Year 5 PV (M)	1,264.49	1,329.63	1,397.43
PV of Terminal Value (M)	21,482.43	22,589.12	23,740.95
Equity Value (M)	27,807.41	29,108.92	30,460.88
Shares Outstanding (M)	566.68	566.68	566.68
Fair Value	$49.07	$51.37	$53.75
Upside / Downside	-62.59%	-60.84%	-59.02%

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Emerson Electric Co. (EMR)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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