DDM Analysis: EME

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$544.29 - $1,336.63	$812.23
Multi-Stage	$371.92 - $406.78	$389.03
Blended Fair Value	$600.63
Current Price	$649.54
Upside	-7.53%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	19.30%	7.38%	0.95	0.72	0.60	0.62	0.39	0.39	0.41	0.42	0.43	0.44
YoY Growth	-	-	32.74%	20.22%	-3.47%	59.35%	-1.54%	-3.70%	-1.74%	-2.48%	-3.19%	-5.63%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.26%	0.20%	0.37%	0.55%	0.35%	0.64%	0.55%	0.53%	0.68%	0.91%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	1,130.37
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	45.33
(=) Cash Retained (M)	1,085.04

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	226.07	141.30	84.78
Cash Retained (M)	1,085.04	1,085.04	1,085.04
(-) Cash Required (M)	-226.07	-141.30	-84.78
(=) Excess Retained (M)	858.96	943.74	1,000.26
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	45.59	45.59	45.59
(=) Excess Retained per Share	18.84	20.70	21.94
LTM Dividend per Share	0.99	0.99	0.99
(+) Excess Retained per Share	18.84	20.70	21.94
(=) Adjusted Dividend	19.83	21.69	22.93
WACC / Discount Rate	9.34%	9.34%	9.34%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$544.29	$812.23	$1,336.63
Upside / Downside	-16.20%	25.05%	105.78%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	1,130.37	1,203.85	1,282.10	1,365.43	1,454.18	1,548.71	1,595.17
Payout Ratio	4.01%	21.21%	38.41%	55.60%	72.80%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	45.33	255.31	492.40	759.24	1,058.68	1,393.84	1,475.53

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.34%	9.34%	9.34%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	231.30	233.50	235.69
Year 2 PV (M)	404.14	411.84	419.61
Year 3 PV (M)	564.54	580.75	597.26
Year 4 PV (M)	713.16	740.59	768.80
Year 5 PV (M)	850.64	891.72	934.38
PV of Terminal Value (M)	14,193.53	14,879.09	15,590.88
Equity Value (M)	16,957.32	17,737.48	18,546.62
Shares Outstanding (M)	45.59	45.59	45.59
Fair Value	$371.92	$389.03	$406.78
Upside / Downside	-42.74%	-40.11%	-37.37%

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112610.KS	CS Wind Corporation	2.43%	$982.89	21.73%
300452.SZ	Anhui Sunhere Pharmaceutical Excipients Co.,Ltd.	2.43%	$0.33	58.46%
603599.SS	Anhui Guangxin Agrochemical Co., Ltd.	2.43%	$0.28	35.02%
605286.SS	Jiangsu Tongli Risheng Machinery Co., Ltd.	2.43%	$0.99	75.51%
9569.SR	Almuneef Company for Trade, Industry, Agriculture and Contracting	2.43%	$0.20	19.26%
ALV	Autoliv, Inc.	2.43%	$2.97	30.32%
KEPEN.AT	Flour Mills Kepenos S.A.	2.43%	$0.05	39.82%
MSAB-B.ST	Micro Systemation AB (publ)	2.43%	$1.50	65.33%
NEOE3.SA	Neoenergia S.A.	2.43%	$0.77	21.26%
OV8.SI	Sheng Siong Group Ltd	2.43%	$0.06	66.54%
VIL.PA	VIEL & Cie, S.A.	2.43%	$0.40	12.44%
002236.SZ	Zhejiang Dahua Technology Co., Ltd.	2.42%	$0.46	38.43%
006730.KQ	Seobu T&D Co., Ltd.	2.42%	$309.73	27.66%
071050.KS	Korea Investment Holdings Co., Ltd.	2.42%	$3,984.93	13.09%
0DQK.L	Beter Bed Holding N.V.	2.42%	$0.15	53.98%
2409.TW	AUO Corporation	2.42%	$0.31	41.22%
300453.SZ	Jiangxi Sanxin Medtec Co.,Ltd.	2.42%	$0.21	45.08%
600064.SS	Nanjing Gaoke Company Limited	2.42%	$0.21	15.60%
601236.SS	Hongta Securities Co., Ltd.	2.42%	$0.20	95.69%
9550.SR	Sure Global Tech Company	2.42%	$1.52	28.67%
9562.SR	Foods Gate Trading Co.	2.42%	$0.67	13.40%
AEONTS-R.BK	AEON Thana Sinsap (Thailand) Public Company Limited	2.42%	$2.60	21.04%
NMAN.ST	Nederman Holding AB (publ)	2.42%	$4.00	47.45%
SALIK.AE	Salik Company P.J.S.C.	2.42%	$0.16	83.74%
SKMO.ST	Skåne-möllan AB (publ)	2.42%	$1.40	96.86%
001130.KS	Daehan Flour Mills Co.,Ltd	2.41%	$3,470.92	10.83%
080160.KQ	Modetour Network Inc.	2.41%	$249.37	24.80%
0U96.L	Everest Re Group, Ltd.	2.41%	$8.07	61.23%
3591.T	Wacoal Holdings Corp.	2.41%	$106.27	49.77%
601966.SS	Shandong Linglong Tyre Co.,Ltd.	2.41%	$0.35	42.43%
7951.T	Yamaha Corporation	2.41%	$26.35	66.95%
BORG.ST	Björn Borg AB (publ)	2.41%	$1.50	43.49%
EIOF.OL	Eidesvik Offshore ASA	2.41%	$0.30	28.32%
ETTE.HE	Etteplan Oyj	2.41%	$0.23	71.21%
ZZ-B.ST	Zinzino AB (publ)	2.41%	$3.76	58.64%
002968.SZ	New Dazheng Property Group Co., Ltd.	2.40%	$0.29	59.28%
0NZN.L	Robertet S.A.	2.40%	$21.10	23.60%
4015.SR	Jamjoom Pharmaceuticals Factory Company	2.40%	$3.46	54.14%
7703.TWO	Rayzher	2.40%	$5.49	59.71%
BBL.AX	Brisbane Broncos Limited	2.40%	$0.04	25.15%
002158.SZ	Shanghai Hanbell Precise Machinery Co., Ltd.	2.39%	$0.60	60.14%
004690.KS	Samchully Co.,Ltd	2.39%	$3,000.02	10.30%
0GVS.L	Catena AB (publ)	2.39%	$8.76	32.84%
300577.SZ	Anhui Korrun Co., Ltd.	2.39%	$0.51	36.22%
3044.TW	Tripod Technology Corporation	2.39%	$7.48	42.14%
603080.SS	Xinjiang Torch Gas Co., Ltd	2.39%	$0.57	43.55%
6780.TWO	Study King Co., Ltd.	2.39%	$0.80	89.60%
6804.T	Hosiden Corporation	2.39%	$59.44	25.81%
KBLM.JK	PT Kabelindo Murni Tbk	2.39%	$8.08	12.05%
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Financial Statements

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Ticker

Industry

Sector

EMCOR Group, Inc. (EME)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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