DDM Analysis: EMB.AX

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$6.80 - $9.74	$8.24
Multi-Stage	$17.67 - $19.47	$18.55
Blended Fair Value	$13.40
Current Price	$8.33
Upside	60.82%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	-2.64%	1.06%	0.35	0.35	0.30	0.35	0.40	0.40	0.50	0.47	0.46	0.36
YoY Growth	-	-	-0.03%	16.67%	-14.29%	-12.50%	0.00%	-20.00%	6.38%	2.17%	29.58%	12.70%
Dividend Yield	-	-	4.21%	3.70%	2.86%	3.51%	3.31%	4.01%	4.77%	3.37%	3.84%	4.42%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	2.19
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	1.51
(=) Cash Retained (M)	0.68

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	0.44	0.27	0.16
Cash Retained (M)	0.68	0.68	0.68
(-) Cash Required (M)	-0.44	-0.27	-0.16
(=) Excess Retained (M)	0.24	0.40	0.51
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	2.15	2.15	2.15
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.11	0.19	0.24
LTM Dividend per Share	0.70	0.70	0.70
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.11	0.19	0.24
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.81	0.89	0.94
WACC / Discount Rate	6.74%	6.74%	6.74%
Growth Rate	-4.64%	-3.64%	-2.64%
Fair Value	$6.80	$8.24	$9.74
Upside / Downside	-18.35%	-1.06%	16.94%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	2.19	2.11	2.03	1.96	1.88	1.82	1.87
Payout Ratio	69.10%	73.28%	77.46%	81.64%	85.82%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	1.51	1.54	1.57	1.60	1.62	1.63	1.73

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.74%	6.74%	6.74%
Growth Rate	-4.64%	-3.64%	-2.64%
Year 1 PV (M)	1.43	1.45	1.46
Year 2 PV (M)	1.35	1.38	1.41
Year 3 PV (M)	1.27	1.31	1.35
Year 4 PV (M)	1.19	1.25	1.30
Year 5 PV (M)	1.12	1.18	1.24
PV of Terminal Value (M)	31.70	33.40	35.17
Equity Value (M)	38.07	39.96	41.93
Shares Outstanding (M)	2.15	2.15	2.15
Fair Value	$17.67	$18.55	$19.47
Upside / Downside	112.16%	122.71%	133.69%

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Embelton Limited (EMB.AX)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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