DDM Analysis: EKAD.JK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$87.55 - $137.25	$110.39
Multi-Stage	$216.73 - $238.16	$227.24
Blended Fair Value	$168.81
Current Price	$185.00
Upside	-8.75%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	8.81%	17.87%	8.97	8.92	9.91	8.83	6.76	5.88	3.65	3.20	1.93	1.73
YoY Growth	-	-	0.53%	-10.01%	12.29%	30.57%	14.97%	61.12%	14.05%	66.20%	11.18%	-0.01%
Dividend Yield	-	-	4.67%	3.66%	3.62%	3.04%	2.77%	3.50%	2.19%	2.34%	1.32%	2.06%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	31,513.81
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	31,002.10
(=) Cash Retained (M)	511.72

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	6,302.76	3,939.23	2,363.54
Cash Retained (M)	511.72	511.72	511.72
(-) Cash Required (M)	-6,302.76	-3,939.23	-2,363.54
(=) Excess Retained (M)	-5,791.05	-3,427.51	-1,851.82
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	3,493.88	3,493.88	3,493.88
(=) Excess Retained per Share	-1.66	-0.98	-0.53
LTM Dividend per Share	8.87	8.87	8.87
(+) Excess Retained per Share	-1.66	-0.98	-0.53
(=) Adjusted Dividend	7.22	7.89	8.34
WACC / Discount Rate	6.16%	6.16%	6.16%
Growth Rate	-1.93%	-0.93%	0.07%
Fair Value	$87.55	$110.39	$137.25
Upside / Downside	-52.68%	-40.33%	-25.81%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	31,513.81	31,221.69	30,932.27	30,645.53	30,361.46	30,080.02	30,982.42
Payout Ratio	98.38%	96.70%	95.03%	93.35%	91.68%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	31,002.10	30,191.68	29,393.61	28,607.76	27,833.94	27,072.01	28,658.73

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.16%	6.16%	6.16%
Growth Rate	-1.93%	-0.93%	0.07%
Year 1 PV (M)	28,153.69	28,440.76	28,727.82
Year 2 PV (M)	25,559.31	26,083.20	26,612.40
Year 3 PV (M)	23,196.80	23,913.63	24,645.09
Year 4 PV (M)	21,045.87	21,917.47	22,815.86
Year 5 PV (M)	19,088.02	20,081.22	21,115.34
PV of Terminal Value (M)	640,189.54	673,500.36	708,183.59
Equity Value (M)	757,233.22	793,936.64	832,100.10
Shares Outstanding (M)	3,493.88	3,493.88	3,493.88
Fair Value	$216.73	$227.24	$238.16
Upside / Downside	17.15%	22.83%	28.73%

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PT Ekadharma International Tbk (EKAD.JK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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