DDM Analysis: EDV.AX

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$58.33 - $104.26	$97.71
Multi-Stage	$16.99 - $18.58	$17.77
Blended Fair Value	$57.74
Current Price	$4.01
Upside	1,339.90%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018
DPS	17.92%	0.00%	0.20	0.22	0.22	0.20	0.03	0.09	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	-8.21%	-1.02%	12.89%	571.15%	-66.88%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	4.99%	4.39%	3.49%	2.58%	0.46%	1.46%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	938.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	748.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	190.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	187.60	117.25	70.35
Cash Retained (M)	190.00	190.00	190.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-187.60	-117.25	-70.35
(=) Excess Retained (M)	2.40	72.75	119.65
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	1,789.18	1,789.18	1,789.18
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.00	0.04	0.07
LTM Dividend per Share	0.42	0.42	0.42
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.00	0.04	0.07
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.42	0.46	0.48
WACC / Discount Rate	6.26%	6.26%	6.26%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$58.33	$97.71	$104.26
Upside / Downside	1,354.63%	2,336.64%	2,500.07%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	938.00	998.97	1,063.90	1,133.06	1,206.71	1,285.14	1,323.70
Payout Ratio	79.74%	81.80%	83.85%	85.90%	87.95%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	748.00	817.11	892.05	973.27	1,061.28	1,156.63	1,224.42

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.26%	6.26%	6.26%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	761.76	768.98	776.20
Year 2 PV (M)	775.29	790.06	804.96
Year 3 PV (M)	788.59	811.22	834.29
Year 4 PV (M)	801.65	832.48	864.19
Year 5 PV (M)	814.49	853.83	894.68
PV of Terminal Value (M)	26,460.46	27,738.51	29,065.47
Equity Value (M)	30,402.25	31,795.09	33,239.80
Shares Outstanding (M)	1,789.18	1,789.18	1,789.18
Fair Value	$16.99	$17.77	$18.58
Upside / Downside	323.75%	343.16%	363.30%

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Endeavour Group Limited (EDV.AX)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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