DDM Analysis: DUKB

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$109.45 - $221.90	$152.87
Multi-Stage	$162.26 - $177.93	$169.94
Blended Fair Value	$161.41
Current Price	$24.99
Upside	545.89%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	3.79%	3.70%	4.14	4.18	4.10	4.01	3.62	3.44	3.18	3.16	3.01	2.90
YoY Growth	-	-	-0.96%	2.04%	2.09%	10.74%	5.40%	7.97%	0.86%	5.06%	3.46%	0.90%
Dividend Yield	-	-	17.34%	16.91%	16.35%	15.61%	13.50%	13.43%	12.48%	12.69%	12.08%	11.67%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	4,989.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	3,257.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	1,732.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	997.80	623.63	374.18
Cash Retained (M)	1,732.00	1,732.00	1,732.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-997.80	-623.63	-374.18
(=) Excess Retained (M)	734.20	1,108.38	1,357.83
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	776.00	776.00	776.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.95	1.43	1.75
LTM Dividend per Share	4.20	4.20	4.20
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.95	1.43	1.75
(=) Adjusted Dividend	5.14	5.63	5.95
WACC / Discount Rate	6.48%	6.48%	6.48%
Growth Rate	1.70%	2.70%	3.70%
Fair Value	$109.45	$152.87	$221.90
Upside / Downside	337.97%	511.73%	787.94%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	4,989.00	5,123.75	5,262.14	5,404.27	5,550.24	5,700.15	5,871.15
Payout Ratio	65.28%	70.23%	75.17%	80.11%	85.06%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	3,257.00	3,598.25	3,955.56	4,329.55	4,720.85	5,130.13	5,430.81

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.48%	6.48%	6.48%
Growth Rate	1.70%	2.70%	3.70%
Year 1 PV (M)	3,346.36	3,379.27	3,412.17
Year 2 PV (M)	3,421.14	3,488.75	3,557.02
Year 3 PV (M)	3,482.47	3,586.21	3,691.99
Year 4 PV (M)	3,531.40	3,672.35	3,817.49
Year 5 PV (M)	3,568.92	3,747.87	3,933.92
PV of Terminal Value (M)	108,559.67	114,002.87	119,662.25
Equity Value (M)	125,909.97	131,877.32	138,074.84
Shares Outstanding (M)	776.00	776.00	776.00
Fair Value	$162.26	$169.94	$177.93
Upside / Downside	549.28%	580.05%	612.01%

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Duke Energy Corporation 5.625% (DUKB)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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