DDM Analysis: DRI

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$263.18 - $935.86	$436.54
Multi-Stage	$174.17 - $190.04	$181.96
Blended Fair Value	$309.25
Current Price	$205.24
Upside	50.68%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	15.36%	8.97%	5.58	5.33	5.00	4.77	1.72	2.73	3.14	2.66	2.37	2.27
YoY Growth	-	-	4.79%	6.54%	4.76%	177.89%	-37.14%	-13.08%	18.28%	12.33%	4.06%	-3.84%
Dividend Yield	-	-	2.72%	3.41%	3.22%	3.83%	1.15%	3.15%	2.59%	2.33%	2.79%	3.71%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	1,100.10
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	667.60
(=) Cash Retained (M)	432.50

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	220.02	137.51	82.51
Cash Retained (M)	432.50	432.50	432.50
(-) Cash Required (M)	-220.02	-137.51	-82.51
(=) Excess Retained (M)	212.48	294.99	349.99
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	117.95	117.95	117.95
(=) Excess Retained per Share	1.80	2.50	2.97
LTM Dividend per Share	5.66	5.66	5.66
(+) Excess Retained per Share	1.80	2.50	2.97
(=) Adjusted Dividend	7.46	8.16	8.63
WACC / Discount Rate	8.49%	8.49%	8.49%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$263.18	$436.54	$935.86
Upside / Downside	28.23%	112.70%	355.98%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	1,100.10	1,171.61	1,247.76	1,328.87	1,415.24	1,507.23	1,552.45
Payout Ratio	60.69%	66.55%	72.41%	78.27%	84.14%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	667.60	779.68	903.52	1,040.16	1,190.74	1,356.51	1,436.02

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	8.49%	8.49%	8.49%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	711.91	718.66	725.41
Year 2 PV (M)	753.28	767.63	782.11
Year 3 PV (M)	791.82	814.55	837.71
Year 4 PV (M)	827.67	859.49	892.23
Year 5 PV (M)	860.93	902.51	945.69
PV of Terminal Value (M)	16,597.92	17,399.61	18,231.98
Equity Value (M)	20,543.54	21,462.46	22,415.14
Shares Outstanding (M)	117.95	117.95	117.95
Fair Value	$174.17	$181.96	$190.04
Upside / Downside	-15.14%	-11.34%	-7.41%

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Darden Restaurants, Inc. (DRI)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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