DDM Analysis: DR0.DE

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$154.32 - $364.87	$227.44
Multi-Stage	$109.78 - $119.89	$114.74
Blended Fair Value	$171.09
Current Price	$47.30
Upside	261.72%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	17.27%	-13.88%	1.77	1.32	0.54	0.00	0.15	0.80	0.65	0.60	0.55	0.63
YoY Growth	-	-	34.25%	144.00%	0.00%	-100.00%	-81.09%	22.73%	8.33%	9.09%	-12.44%	-92.04%
Dividend Yield	-	-	4.90%	3.77%	2.12%	0.00%	1.26%	10.72%	3.53%	2.56%	2.53%	4.24%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	35.98
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	9.69
(=) Cash Retained (M)	26.29

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	7.20	4.50	2.70
Cash Retained (M)	26.29	26.29	26.29
(-) Cash Required (M)	-7.20	-4.50	-2.70
(=) Excess Retained (M)	19.10	21.79	23.59
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	4.94	4.94	4.94
(=) Excess Retained per Share	3.87	4.42	4.78
LTM Dividend per Share	1.96	1.96	1.96
(+) Excess Retained per Share	3.87	4.42	4.78
(=) Adjusted Dividend	5.83	6.38	6.74
WACC / Discount Rate	9.49%	9.49%	9.49%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$154.32	$227.44	$364.87
Upside / Downside	226.26%	380.84%	671.39%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	35.98	38.32	40.81	43.46	46.28	49.29	50.77
Payout Ratio	26.92%	39.54%	52.15%	64.77%	77.38%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	9.69	15.15	21.28	28.15	35.82	44.36	46.96

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.49%	9.49%	9.49%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	13.71	13.84	13.97
Year 2 PV (M)	17.42	17.75	18.09
Year 3 PV (M)	20.85	21.45	22.06
Year 4 PV (M)	24.00	24.92	25.87
Year 5 PV (M)	26.90	28.20	29.55
PV of Terminal Value (M)	438.99	460.19	482.21
Equity Value (M)	541.86	566.35	591.74
Shares Outstanding (M)	4.94	4.94	4.94
Fair Value	$109.78	$114.74	$119.89
Upside / Downside	132.10%	142.59%	153.46%

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Financial Statements

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Deutsche Rohstoff AG (DR0.DE)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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