DDM Analysis: DLTA.JK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$1,011.12 - $1,410.26	$1,210.51
Multi-Stage	$3,263.60 - $3,599.12	$3,427.94
Blended Fair Value	$2,319.23
Current Price	$1,995.00
Upside	16.25%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-10.09%	4.48%	280.34	324.24	299.48	249.50	389.32	477.27	259.37	179.69	119.94	195.94
YoY Growth	-	-	-13.54%	8.27%	20.03%	-35.91%	-18.43%	84.01%	44.35%	49.81%	-38.78%	8.32%
Dividend Yield	-	-	13.61%	9.74%	7.45%	6.53%	10.14%	10.05%	3.63%	3.46%	2.73%	3.63%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	141,742.05
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	140,452.52
(=) Cash Retained (M)	1,289.53

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	28,348.41	17,717.76	10,630.65
Cash Retained (M)	1,289.53	1,289.53	1,289.53
(-) Cash Required (M)	-28,348.41	-17,717.76	-10,630.65
(=) Excess Retained (M)	-27,058.88	-16,428.23	-9,341.12
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	800.66	800.66	800.66
(=) Excess Retained per Share	-33.80	-20.52	-11.67
LTM Dividend per Share	175.42	175.42	175.42
(+) Excess Retained per Share	-33.80	-20.52	-11.67
(=) Adjusted Dividend	141.63	154.90	163.75
WACC / Discount Rate	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%
Growth Rate	-6.80%	-5.80%	-4.80%
Fair Value	$1,011.12	$1,210.51	$1,410.26
Upside / Downside	-49.32%	-39.32%	-29.31%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	141,742.05	133,519.99	125,774.86	118,479.01	111,606.37	105,132.40	108,286.37
Payout Ratio	99.09%	97.27%	95.45%	93.64%	91.82%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	140,452.52	129,877.81	120,057.31	110,939.11	102,474.79	94,619.16	100,164.89

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%
Growth Rate	-6.80%	-5.80%	-4.80%
Year 1 PV (M)	120,936.35	122,233.96	123,531.57
Year 2 PV (M)	104,095.61	106,341.42	108,611.20
Year 3 PV (M)	89,567.49	92,481.63	95,458.30
Year 4 PV (M)	77,037.93	80,397.90	83,866.60
Year 5 PV (M)	66,235.15	69,865.65	73,653.62
PV of Terminal Value (M)	2,155,160.82	2,273,289.86	2,396,542.96
Equity Value (M)	2,613,033.35	2,744,610.41	2,881,664.25
Shares Outstanding (M)	800.66	800.66	800.66
Fair Value	$3,263.60	$3,427.94	$3,599.12
Upside / Downside	63.59%	71.83%	80.41%

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PT Delta Djakarta Tbk (DLTA.JK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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