DDM Analysis: DHI

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$263.07 - $667.62	$396.73
Multi-Stage	$180.15 - $196.93	$188.39
Blended Fair Value	$292.56
Current Price	$169.47
Upside	72.63%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	14.09%	18.37%	1.61	1.28	1.11	1.03	0.94	0.83	0.73	0.61	0.49	0.39
YoY Growth	-	-	25.20%	15.83%	7.80%	9.40%	13.01%	14.59%	18.58%	25.94%	26.03%	29.59%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.95%	0.92%	0.73%	1.15%	0.87%	1.21%	1.37%	1.76%	0.95%	1.41%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	3,585.20
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	494.80
(=) Cash Retained (M)	3,090.40

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	717.04	448.15	268.89
Cash Retained (M)	3,090.40	3,090.40	3,090.40
(-) Cash Required (M)	-717.04	-448.15	-268.89
(=) Excess Retained (M)	2,373.36	2,642.25	2,821.51
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	308.13	308.13	308.13
(=) Excess Retained per Share	7.70	8.58	9.16
LTM Dividend per Share	1.61	1.61	1.61
(+) Excess Retained per Share	7.70	8.58	9.16
(=) Adjusted Dividend	9.31	10.18	10.76
WACC / Discount Rate	9.23%	9.23%	9.23%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$263.07	$396.73	$667.62
Upside / Downside	55.23%	134.10%	293.95%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	3,585.20	3,818.24	4,066.42	4,330.74	4,612.24	4,912.03	5,059.40
Payout Ratio	13.80%	29.04%	44.28%	59.52%	74.76%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	494.80	1,108.85	1,800.64	2,577.68	3,448.12	4,420.83	4,679.94

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.23%	9.23%	9.23%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	1,005.59	1,015.13	1,024.66
Year 2 PV (M)	1,480.90	1,509.10	1,537.58
Year 3 PV (M)	1,922.54	1,977.73	2,033.96
Year 4 PV (M)	2,332.27	2,421.96	2,514.21
Year 5 PV (M)	2,711.74	2,842.72	2,978.71
PV of Terminal Value (M)	46,056.09	48,280.62	50,590.28
Equity Value (M)	55,509.14	58,047.26	60,679.41
Shares Outstanding (M)	308.13	308.13	308.13
Fair Value	$180.15	$188.39	$196.93
Upside / Downside	6.30%	11.16%	16.20%

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D.R. Horton, Inc. (DHI)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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