DDM Analysis: CULTIBAB.MX

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$4.42 - $5.64	$5.07
Multi-Stage	$12.43 - $13.95	$13.17
Blended Fair Value	$9.12
Current Price	$10.30
Upside	-11.41%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-19.51%	7.22%	0.50	0.00	0.00	1.84	0.04	1.47	0.00	0.30	0.28	0.28
YoY Growth	-	-	0.00%	0.00%	-100.00%	5,084.46%	-97.58%	0.00%	-100.00%	7.41%	0.00%	12.50%
Dividend Yield	-	-	4.51%	0.00%	0.00%	21.39%	0.26%	11.39%	0.00%	1.88%	1.50%	1.15%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	1,401.28
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	345.69
(=) Cash Retained (M)	1,055.58

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	280.26	175.16	105.10
Cash Retained (M)	1,055.58	1,055.58	1,055.58
(-) Cash Required (M)	-280.26	-175.16	-105.10
(=) Excess Retained (M)	775.33	880.42	950.49
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	696.68	696.68	696.68
(=) Excess Retained per Share	1.11	1.26	1.36
LTM Dividend per Share	0.50	0.50	0.50
(+) Excess Retained per Share	1.11	1.26	1.36
(=) Adjusted Dividend	1.61	1.76	1.86
WACC / Discount Rate	7.06%	7.06%	7.06%
Growth Rate	-21.51%	-20.51%	-19.51%
Fair Value	$4.42	$5.07	$5.64
Upside / Downside	-57.08%	-50.73%	-45.28%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	1,401.28	1,113.93	885.51	703.93	559.59	444.84	458.18
Payout Ratio	24.67%	37.74%	50.80%	63.87%	76.93%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	345.69	420.35	449.86	449.59	430.51	400.36	423.82

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.06%	7.06%	7.06%
Growth Rate	-21.51%	-20.51%	-19.51%
Year 1 PV (M)	387.68	392.62	397.56
Year 2 PV (M)	382.65	392.46	402.40
Year 3 PV (M)	352.70	366.35	380.35
Year 4 PV (M)	311.48	327.66	344.46
Year 5 PV (M)	267.15	284.61	302.96
PV of Terminal Value (M)	6,960.23	7,415.03	7,893.30
Equity Value (M)	8,661.89	9,178.72	9,721.03
Shares Outstanding (M)	696.68	696.68	696.68
Fair Value	$12.43	$13.17	$13.95
Upside / Downside	20.71%	27.91%	35.47%

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Financial Statements

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Organización Cultiba, S.A.B. de C.V. (CULTIBAB.MX)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener