Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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ClearBridge MLP and Midstream Total Return Fund Inc. (CTR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$75.56 - $109.33$91.97
Multi-Stage$128.37 - $140.84$134.48
Blended Fair Value$113.23
Current Price$42.67
Upside165.36%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-17.23%0.00%2.492.041.712.524.866.416.416.280.000.00
YoY Growth--22.01%19.51%-32.34%-48.10%-24.14%0.00%1.93%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--7.24%6.62%7.22%17.65%12.61%13.69%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)72.61
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)34.44
(=) Cash Retained (M)38.17
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)14.529.085.45
Cash Retained (M)38.1738.1738.17
(-) Cash Required (M)-14.52-9.08-5.45
(=) Excess Retained (M)23.6529.0932.72
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)6.956.956.95
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.404.184.71
LTM Dividend per Share4.954.954.95
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.404.184.71
(=) Adjusted Dividend8.359.149.66
WACC / Discount Rate8.83%8.83%8.83%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$75.56$91.97$109.33
Upside / Downside77.07%115.54%156.21%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)72.6171.8871.1670.4569.7569.0571.12
Payout Ratio47.43%55.94%64.46%72.97%81.49%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)34.4440.2145.8751.4156.8362.1465.79

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.83%8.83%8.83%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)36.5836.9537.32
Year 2 PV (M)37.9538.7239.51
Year 3 PV (M)38.6839.8841.10
Year 4 PV (M)38.8940.5142.17
Year 5 PV (M)38.6840.7042.79
PV of Terminal Value (M)701.81738.36776.41
Equity Value (M)892.59935.11979.30
Shares Outstanding (M)6.956.956.95
Fair Value$128.37$134.48$140.84
Upside / Downside200.84%215.17%230.06%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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