DDM Analysis: CSED3.SA

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$116.93 - $137.77	$129.11
Multi-Stage	$45.93 - $50.37	$48.11
Blended Fair Value	$88.61
Current Price	$4.92
Upside	1,701.01%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	3.71%	23.59%	0.16	0.23	0.14	0.20	0.15	0.14	0.11	0.07	0.07	0.04
YoY Growth	-	-	-29.48%	70.17%	-30.42%	33.06%	8.00%	25.00%	59.93%	-0.75%	55.56%	124.56%
Dividend Yield	-	-	4.33%	5.35%	7.30%	4.76%	1.45%	1.24%	0.99%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	252.53
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	77.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	175.53

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	50.51	31.57	18.94
Cash Retained (M)	175.53	175.53	175.53
(-) Cash Required (M)	-50.51	-31.57	-18.94
(=) Excess Retained (M)	125.02	143.96	156.59
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	364.54	364.54	364.54
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.34	0.39	0.43
LTM Dividend per Share	0.21	0.21	0.21
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.34	0.39	0.43
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.55	0.61	0.64
WACC / Discount Rate	4.58%	4.58%	4.58%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$116.93	$129.11	$137.77
Upside / Downside	2,276.71%	2,524.17%	2,700.17%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	252.53	268.95	286.43	305.04	324.87	345.99	356.37
Payout Ratio	30.49%	42.39%	54.29%	66.20%	78.10%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	77.00	114.01	155.51	201.93	253.72	311.39	329.64

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	4.58%	4.58%	4.58%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	107.99	109.02	110.04
Year 2 PV (M)	139.53	142.19	144.87
Year 3 PV (M)	171.61	176.53	181.55
Year 4 PV (M)	204.23	212.09	220.17
Year 5 PV (M)	237.42	248.89	260.80
PV of Terminal Value (M)	15,882.35	16,649.47	17,445.96
Equity Value (M)	16,743.14	17,538.19	18,363.38
Shares Outstanding (M)	364.54	364.54	364.54
Fair Value	$45.93	$48.11	$50.37
Upside / Downside	833.53%	877.86%	923.86%

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Financial Statements

Fundamentals

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Ticker

Industry

Sector

Cruzeiro do Sul Educacional S.A. (CSED3.SA)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener