DDM Analysis: CRS

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$66.68 - $98.62	$81.97
Multi-Stage	$82.48 - $90.43	$86.38
Blended Fair Value	$84.17
Current Price	$245.54
Upside	-65.72%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	0.76%	0.62%	0.80	0.79	0.78	0.77	0.77	0.77	0.76	0.68	0.67	0.69
YoY Growth	-	-	0.75%	1.52%	0.51%	0.26%	0.77%	0.52%	12.21%	0.88%	-2.01%	-8.18%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.32%	0.50%	1.16%	2.49%	2.36%	4.22%	1.48%	1.16%	1.40%	1.67%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	413.70
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	40.30
(=) Cash Retained (M)	373.40

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	82.74	51.71	31.03
Cash Retained (M)	373.40	373.40	373.40
(-) Cash Required (M)	-82.74	-51.71	-31.03
(=) Excess Retained (M)	290.66	321.69	342.37
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	50.60	50.60	50.60
(=) Excess Retained per Share	5.74	6.36	6.77
LTM Dividend per Share	0.80	0.80	0.80
(+) Excess Retained per Share	5.74	6.36	6.77
(=) Adjusted Dividend	6.54	7.15	7.56
WACC / Discount Rate	10.46%	10.46%	10.46%
Growth Rate	0.60%	1.60%	2.60%
Fair Value	$66.68	$81.97	$98.62
Upside / Downside	-72.84%	-66.62%	-59.83%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	413.70	420.30	427.01	433.82	440.75	447.78	461.21
Payout Ratio	9.74%	25.79%	41.84%	57.90%	73.95%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	40.30	108.41	178.68	251.17	325.92	403.00	426.62

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	10.46%	10.46%	10.46%
Growth Rate	0.60%	1.60%	2.60%
Year 1 PV (M)	97.17	98.14	99.11
Year 2 PV (M)	143.57	146.43	149.33
Year 3 PV (M)	180.90	186.34	191.90
Year 4 PV (M)	210.41	218.90	227.65
Year 5 PV (M)	233.21	245.03	257.33
PV of Terminal Value (M)	3,308.02	3,475.75	3,650.21
Equity Value (M)	4,173.28	4,370.60	4,575.52
Shares Outstanding (M)	50.60	50.60	50.60
Fair Value	$82.48	$86.38	$90.43
Upside / Downside	-66.41%	-64.82%	-63.17%

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0DQK.L	Beter Bed Holding N.V.	2.42%	$0.15	53.98%
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601236.SS	Hongta Securities Co., Ltd.	2.42%	$0.20	95.69%
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9562.SR	Foods Gate Trading Co.	2.42%	$0.67	13.40%
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NMAN.ST	Nederman Holding AB (publ)	2.42%	$4.00	47.45%
SALIK.AE	Salik Company P.J.S.C.	2.42%	$0.16	83.74%
SKMO.ST	Skåne-möllan AB (publ)	2.42%	$1.40	96.86%
001130.KS	Daehan Flour Mills Co.,Ltd	2.41%	$3,470.92	10.83%
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0U96.L	Everest Re Group, Ltd.	2.41%	$8.07	61.23%
3591.T	Wacoal Holdings Corp.	2.41%	$106.27	49.77%
601966.SS	Shandong Linglong Tyre Co.,Ltd.	2.41%	$0.35	42.43%
7951.T	Yamaha Corporation	2.41%	$26.35	66.95%
BORG.ST	Björn Borg AB (publ)	2.41%	$1.50	43.49%
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Financial Statements

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Sector

Carpenter Technology Corporation (CRS)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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